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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 28 November 2010

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 15
  3. 27
  4. 50
  5. 53
  6. 6

Jackpot€7,461,410

The crowdHeld 40% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 48 of 869 under them

← 2010-11-21All recent draws2010-12-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 15 27 50 53 + 629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 November 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum62th
  • odd90th
  • low66th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread95th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

35times
157times
273times
507times
53

Prize breakdown · 2010-11-28

  • Lines in play≈ 8.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€11.1Mto 790k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+11 winnerchance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • 5+178%€8.7M
  • 2+06.9%€763.4K
  • 0+16.6%€734.7K
  • 6 other tiers8.3%€928.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 5+11≈ 0.26 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

4times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

64times

Every number was expected about that many times after 47 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (3, 53) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 October 2010 — its closest relative in 47 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 November 2010): 15 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

148

The numbers add up to 148 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€8,711,761
  • 5+03≈ 2.3 by chance€102,107
  • 4+144≈ 63 by chance€1,266
  • 4+0340≈ 566 by chance€191
  • 3+11,659≈ 3.0k by chance€44.76
  • 3+016,311≈ 27k by chance€14.80
  • 2+127,553≈ 47k by chance€6.74
  • 2+0254,468≈ 426k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1489,805≈ 490k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3+1 — 1,659 winners, 45% fewer than the 3.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+11€8,711,761
    5+03€102,107
    4+144€1,266
    4+0340€191
    3+11,659€44.76
    3+016,311€14.80
    2+127,553€6.74
    2+0254,468€3.00
    0+1489,805€1.50