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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 21 July 2019

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 17
  3. 21
  4. 37
  5. 43
  6. 8

Jackpot€11,000,000

The crowdHeld 31% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 499 of 868 under them

← 2019-07-14All recent draws2019-07-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 17 21 37 43 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 July 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

60oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.

  • sum32th
  • odd99th
  • low66th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread59th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each

350times
1742times
2147times
3747times
43

Prize breakdown · 2019-07-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 430k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€150.3K
  • 2+035%€454.8K
  • 0+129%€376.9K
  • 5 other tiers24%€305.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

38times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each

852times

Every number was expected about that many times after 498 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 21, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 November 2013 — its closest relative in 498 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 July 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
5+0
4≈ 1.2 by chance
€37,572
  • 4+124≈ 32 by chance€1,139
  • 4+0275≈ 291 by chance€116
  • 3+11,023≈ 1.5k by chance€35.61
  • 3+010,559≈ 14k by chance€11.21
  • 2+115,111≈ 24k by chance€6.03
  • 2+0151,588≈ 218k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1251,241≈ 251k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+1 — 15,111 winners, 38% fewer than the 24k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+04€37,572
    4+124€1,139
    4+0275€116
    3+11,023€35.61
    3+010,559€11.21
    2+115,111€6.03
    2+0151,588€3.00
    0+1251,241€1.50