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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 14 October 2012

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 15
  3. 19
  4. 35
  5. 51
  6. 5

Jackpot€7,983,877

The crowdHeld 56% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 146 of 868 under them

← 2012-10-07All recent draws2012-10-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 15 19 35 51 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 October 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.

  • sum34th
  • odd99th
  • low66th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread90th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each

312times
1518times
196times
3515times
51

Prize breakdown · 2012-10-14

  • Lines in play≈ 8.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.1Mto 769k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.27

Where the money went

  • 5+011%€243.4K
  • 2+028%€596.6K
  • 0+137%€783.4K
  • 5 other tiers23%€494.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.27 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

15times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

516times

Every number was expected about that many times after 145 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 19, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 October 2011 — its closest relative in 145 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 42% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 October 2012): 19 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 33th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+02≈ 2.5 by chance€121,682
  • 4+147≈ 67 by chance€941
  • 4+0223≈ 604 by chance€231
  • 3+12,141≈ 3.2k by chance€27.56
  • 3+011,990≈ 29k by chance€15.99
  • 2+133,623≈ 50k by chance€4.39
  • 2+0198,855≈ 454k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1522,236≈ 522k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4+0 — 223 winners, 63% fewer than the 604 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+02€121,682
    4+147€941
    4+0223€231
    3+12,141€27.56
    3+011,990€15.99
    2+133,623€4.39
    2+0198,855€3.00
    0+1522,236€1.50