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El Gordo de la Primitiva · draw

Sunday, 16 September 2018

ResultEl Gordo de la Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 18
  4. 28
  5. 49
  6. 8

Jackpot€5,000,000

The crowdHeld 34% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/54 + 1/9 · since Jan 2010draw 455 of 868 under them

← 2018-09-09All recent draws2018-09-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 18 28 49 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 September 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum18th
  • odd34th
  • low66th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours33th
  • spread83th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each

347times
838times
1834times
2843times
49

Prize breakdown · 2018-09-16

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.3Mto 423k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 10lines took a prize
  • 5+10 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • 5+012%€151.7K
  • 2+034%€433.9K
  • 0+130%€375.3K
  • 5 other tiers24%€308.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 5+10≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

41times
Stars · a separate 1-of-10 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each

846times

Every number was expected about that many times after 454 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 28, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 July 2018 — its closest relative in 454 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 September 2018): 3 carried over. Chance says 40% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (10% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 33% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 41 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+01≈ 1.2 by chance€151,736
  • 4+129≈ 32 by chance€951
  • 4+0209≈ 289 by chance€154
  • 3+11,507≈ 1.5k by chance€24.41
  • 3+09,988≈ 14k by chance€11.97
  • 2+116,873≈ 24k by chance€5.45
  • 2+0144,634≈ 218k by chance€3.00
  • 0+1250,184≈ 250k by chance€1.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 2+0 — 144,634 winners, 34% fewer than the 218k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    5+10€0.00
    5+01€151,736
    4+129€951
    4+0209€154
    3+11,507€24.41
    3+09,988€11.97
    2+116,873€5.45
    2+0144,634€3.00
    0+1250,184€1.50