Number 10

In Thunderball under the 5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010 rules — 3,062 draws, 5 from 1–39.

394times drawn · chance expected 393 +0.08σ

11draws waiting · a wait this long: 25% for any number

7.7average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

60longest completed wait · 11% chance of one at least that long

10 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 394 times in 3,062 draws against 392.6 expected, +0.08σ. Each draw is independent: after 11 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 10, draw by draw

Drawn 394 times in 3,062 draws · average wait 7.7 draws · longest completed wait 60 · waiting 11 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 10 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest118 · chance 126.8
2nd smallest178 · chance 175.5
3rd smallest80 · chance 78.0
4th smallest16 · chance 13.0
5th smallest2 · chance 0.7

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 41.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

7 20 6 30 3 18

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 10 is picked about 1.41× as often as an indifferent choice — 5th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10
Round numbers (multiples of 10) ×1.05

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 10 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-22	9	2nd	1 10 18 32 34
2026-09-05	5	2nd	8 10 22 34 38
2026-08-28	10	3rd	6 9 10 28 34
2026-08-11	10	2nd	3 10 20

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 10 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-09-17	9	2nd	9 10 26 31 36
2025-09-02	28	3rd	3 7 10 16 39
2025-07-15	8	2nd	4 10 13 22 32
2025-07-01	1	3rd	4 9 10 11 31
2025-06-28	1	4th	1 4 9 10 11
2025-06-27	2	1st	10 14 15 23 33
2025-06-24	3	1st	10 13 17 18 31
2025-06-18	56	3rd	5 7 10 11 18
2025-03-12	3	1st	10 20 29 35 36
2025-03-07	4	1st	10 21 23 30 36
2025-02-28	5	1st	10 20 30 36 37
2025-02-19	1	2nd	3 10 11 21 23
2025-02-18	20	1st	10 14 22 26 38
2025-01-14	4	1st	10 16 18 21 22
2025-01-07	10	2nd	3 10 26 27 35
2024-12-20	8	1st	10 13 16 26 39
2024-12-06	1	1st	10 11 29 30 32
2024-12-04	17	3rd	1 4 10 20 33
2024-11-05	3	3rd	4 8 10 11 30
2024-10-30	10	1st	10 12 15 20 25
2024-10-12	2	1st	10 12 19 33 34
2024-10-09	1	3rd	1 3 10 18 25
2024-10-08	8	1st	10 17 19 27 35
2024-09-24	1	1st	10 13 19 22 33
2024-09-21	5	2nd	3 10 12 21 39
2024-09-13	1	2nd	4 10 11 27 32
2024-09-11	2	1st	10 16 22 24 32
2024-09-07	1	1st	10 32 34 35 36
2024-09-06	11	1st	10 12 22 29 36
2024-08-17	4	2nd	3 10 12 18 24
2024-08-10	21	2nd	4 10 12 21 25
2024-07-05	6	1st	10 11 13 15 21
2024-06-25	10	3rd	3 5 10 32 38
2024-06-07	60	3rd	4 9 10 18 37
2024-02-23	2	2nd	9 10 21 22 31
2024-02-20	6	2nd	7 10 21 28 33
2024-02-09	1	2nd	1 10 11 23 33
2024-02-07	23	3rd	3 7 10 13 30
2023-12-29	3	2nd	3 10 13 33 37
2023-12-23	21	2nd	5 10 15 16 35
2023-11-17	18	2nd	5 10 17 30 36
2023-10-17	3	1st	10 23 24 31 33
2023-10-11	3	4th	3 6 9 10 32
2023-10-06	6	1st	10 30 32 35 36
2023-09-26	3	2nd	7 10 12 25 28
2023-09-20	2	1st	10 19 20 21 26
2023-09-16	9	2nd	4 10 31 33 36
2023-09-01	9	3rd	4 6 10 14 24
2023-08-16	7	3rd	4 5 10 24 25
2023-08-04	12	2nd	4 10 11 12 25
2023-07-14	3	2nd	2 10 14 30 36
2023-07-08	8	1st	10 11 15 20 27
2023-06-24	5	3rd	2 5 10 15 28
2023-06-16	1	2nd	5 10 16 28 39
2023-06-14	1	1st	10 18 21 31 38
2023-06-13	9	3rd	7 8 10 14 18
2023-05-27	1	2nd	9 10 19 35 39
2023-05-26	3	2nd	2 10 33 34 38
2023-05-20	3	2nd	5 10 24 27 28
2023-05-16	2	1st	10 12 14 28 33
2023-05-12	4	1st	10 14 19 35 36
2023-05-05	11	4th	4 6 9 10 38
2023-04-15	14	1st	10 11 21 23 39
2023-03-22	1	1st	10 17 22 26 30
2023-03-21	6	2nd	1 10 14 19 39
2023-03-10	1	2nd	2 10 12 13 36
2023-03-08	1	1st	10 17 18 25 37
2023-03-07	16	2nd	3 10 20 22 36
2023-02-07	18	1st	10 18 25 26 30
2023-01-06	1	2nd	8 10 16 18 31
2023-01-04	6	2nd	5 10 14 16 19
2022-12-24	3	1st	10 11 17 25 36
2022-12-20	2	3rd	1 7 10 15 37
2022-12-16	24	3rd	1 6 10 28 39
2022-11-04	13	1st	10 30 32 37 38
2022-10-12	17	4th	1 4 8 10 30
2022-09-13	10	2nd	3 10 11 18 33
2022-08-26	1	2nd	6 10 14 20 22
2022-08-24	9	2nd	5 10 15 36 37
2022-08-09	7	1st	10 17 25 32 34
2022-07-27	14	3rd	2 7 10 28 33
2022-07-02	1	3rd	1 3 10 37 38
2022-07-01	31	2nd	9 10 18 24 35
2022-05-07	19	2nd	7 10 20 21 27
2022-04-05	19	1st	10 11 17 20 30
2022-03-02	1	5th	2 7 8 9 10
2022-03-01	11	2nd	2 10 22 32 35
2022-02-09	9	2nd	4 10 24 26 29
2022-01-25	9	1st	10 11 12 17 21
2022-01-08	4	1st	10 15 26 27 38
2022-01-01	6	4th	4 6 8 10 18
2021-12-22	4	1st	10 25 26 30 36
2021-12-15	24	2nd	3 10 11 32 34
2021-11-03	1	2nd	7 10 16 22 35
2021-11-02	14	2nd	6 10 11 27 30
2021-10-08	16	3rd	4 6 10 15 20
2021-09-10	2	1st	10 12 28 29 33
2021-09-07	5	2nd	1 10 14 19 28
2021-08-28	10	2nd	3 10 29 31 34
2021-08-11	1	2nd	8 10 19 22 39
2021-08-10	5	2nd	8 10 11 22 37
2021-07-31	1	2nd	5 10 20 24 37
2021-07-30	10	1st	10 24 26 28 35
2021-07-13	1	1st	10 12 16 25 29
2021-07-10	5	2nd	2 10 13 24 25
2021-07-02	10	3rd	2 9 10 23 36
2021-06-15	4	2nd	3 10 26 27 37
2021-06-08	6	2nd	9 10 14 18 37
2021-05-28	3	3rd	3 8 10 23 34
2021-05-22	14	2nd	5 10 18 20 36
2021-04-28	9	3rd	7 9 10 16 26
2021-04-13	19	2nd	7 10 20 25 37
2021-03-10	11	1st	10 12 15 28 30
2021-02-19	13	2nd	5 10 11 23 36
2021-01-27	3	2nd	7 10 15 21 33
2021-01-22	14	2nd	8 10 18 21 38
2020-12-29	5	2nd	7 10 15 24 39
2020-12-19	4	2nd	5 10 18 23 32
2020-12-12	3	1st	10 16 24 37 39
2020-12-08	4	1st	10 14 21 24 26
2020-12-01	3	2nd	5 10 31 32 39
2020-11-25	18	3rd	5 7 10 11 26
2020-10-24	12	1st	10 15 24 34 36
2020-10-03	11	3rd	3 6 10 11 28
2020-09-15	10	3rd	4 9 10 32 36
2020-08-28	5	3rd	5 6 10 12 37
2020-08-19	2	3rd	1 3 10 20 21
2020-08-15	1	2nd	1 10 15 21 39
2020-08-14	1	2nd	1 10 23 30 36
2020-08-12	6	4th	1 3 7 10 35
2020-08-01	11	2nd	8 10 18 22 32
2020-07-14	6	1st	10 22 34 35 39
2020-07-03	2	1st	10 20 24 34 39
2020-06-30	4	1st	10 16 25 27 35
2020-06-23	5	3rd	4 7 10 16 22
2020-06-13	5	1st	10 16 27 29 33
2020-06-05	2	1st	10 20 24 29 39
2020-06-02	14	1st	10 11 14 19 29
2020-05-08	11	2nd	1 10 19 24 34
2020-04-18	4	3rd	7 9 10 34 35
2020-04-11	7	2nd	5 10 18 26 28
2020-03-31	12	3rd	3 6 10 33 39
2020-03-10	1	4th	2 6 7 10 34
2020-03-07	4	2nd	2 10 17 32 37
2020-02-29	6	4th	1 3 6 10 37
2020-02-19	1	2nd	4 10 11 17 28
2020-02-18	2	2nd	6 10 27 32 34
2020-02-14	10	4th	3 7 8 10 16
2020-01-28	2	3rd	4 5 10 12 23
2020-01-24	7	2nd	9 10 20 22 29
2020-01-11	12	4th	1 8 9 10 29
2019-12-21	1	1st	10 11 18 24 36
2019-12-20	5	2nd	7 10 23 29 39
2019-12-11	10	3rd	6 7 10 23 34
2019-11-23	7	2nd	8 10 14 20 31
2019-11-12	3	1st	10 28 29 30 35
2019-11-06	8	1st	10 14 17 25 34
2019-10-23	20	2nd	9 10 18 28 29
2019-09-18	4	2nd	6 10 22 26 37
2019-09-11	6	2nd	9 10 19 21 28
2019-08-31	14	2nd	6 10 23 25 28
2019-08-07	7	1st	10 21 26 30 39
2019-07-26	2	3rd	3 6 10 21 35
2019-07-23	2	1st	10 20 23 30 39
2019-07-19	3	2nd	9 10 16 25 39
2019-07-13	5	1st	10 14 16 18 20
2019-07-05	2	1st	10 18 24 32 35
2019-07-02	2	2nd	9 10 17 28 35
2019-06-28	26	2nd	2 10 18 21 24
2019-05-14	8	1st	10 12 13 19 30
2019-04-30	6	2nd	2 10 15 21 37
2019-04-19	11	2nd	1 10 25 29 38
2019-03-30	15	2nd	6 10 12 16 30
2019-03-05	6	2nd	3 10 11 24 36
2019-02-22	9	2nd	4 10 21 23 38
2019-02-06	4	2nd	8 10 18 30 32
2019-01-30	26	2nd	7 10 15 25 37
2018-12-15	13	2nd	2 10 14 18 34
2018-11-23	6	3rd	6 8 10 22 25
2018-11-13	4	3rd	3 7 10 22 39
2018-11-06	2	3rd	3 8 10 11 22
2018-11-02	9	1st	10 21 25 33 36
2018-10-17	13	1st	10 15 21 23 30
2018-09-25	13	1st	10 11 20 34 38
2018-09-01	8	3rd	3 9 10 15 38
2018-08-18	5	2nd	2 10 13 24 33
2018-08-10	4	2nd	1 10 13 18 24
2018-08-03	19	1st	10 19 24 26 33
2018-06-30	15	2nd	7 10 29 32 34
2018-06-05	1	2nd	7 10 13 16 31
2018-06-02	3	1st	10 14 27 33 35
2018-05-29	6	1st	10 19 20 26 35
2018-05-18	8	2nd	1 10 13 38 39
2018-05-04	13	2nd	7 10 13 16 19
2018-04-11	3	2nd	3 10 14 16 22
2018-04-06	2	4th	3 4 6 10 17
2018-04-03	6	3rd	5 7 10 17 34
2018-03-23	7	3rd	2 4 10 28 35
2018-03-10	13	3rd	4 5 10 26 36
2018-02-16	11	4th	3 5 7 10 36
2018-01-27	23	1st	10 21 32 35 39
2017-12-06	10	2nd	2 10 13 16 25
2017-11-11	2	1st	10 12 18 35 37
2017-11-08	1	1st	10 15 22 27 38
2017-11-04	8	3rd	1 4 10 27 33
2017-10-18	2	1st	10 25 29 34 36
2017-10-13	8	1st	10 13 16 17 36
2017-09-23	13	2nd	2 10 13 25 37
2017-08-25	4	2nd	8 10 22 26 30
2017-08-16	6	2nd	7 10 20 29 38
2017-08-02	1	2nd	7 10 15 19 24
2017-07-29	7	1st	10 14 22 33 34
2017-07-14	13	2nd	2 10 12 19 37
2017-06-14	1	1st	10 16 19 29 31
2017-06-10	28	1st	10 12 23 33 39
2017-04-07	5	2nd	6 10 17 33 37
2017-03-25	13	1st	10 12 24 34 35
2017-02-24	3	1st	10 13 28 32 39
2017-02-17	4	1st	10 18 20 21 27
2017-02-08	1	2nd	5 10 30 32 39
2017-02-04	1	2nd	1 10 21 26 32
2017-02-03	2	2nd	4 10 14 31 33
2017-01-28	5	2nd	5 10 12 24 31
2017-01-18	13	2nd	2 10 15 18 39
2016-12-17	4	1st	10 16 21 28 38
2016-12-09	7	3rd	1 8 10 29 35
2016-11-23	30	3rd	2 4 10 24 29
2016-09-14	1	1st	10 14 20 26 37
2016-09-10	5	1st	10 17 24 26 34
2016-08-31	19	3rd	1 2 10 19 29
2016-07-16	14	2nd	4 10 29 30 38
2016-06-15	3	2nd	7 10 20 27 39
2016-06-08	11	2nd	7 10 17 20 22
2016-05-13	1	2nd	6 10 12 28 31
2016-05-11	4	2nd	6 10 16 25 27
2016-04-30	4	2nd	6 10 11 17 18
2016-04-22	8	1st	10 17 19 27 35
2016-04-02	1	1st	10 11 34 36 39
2016-04-01	27	3rd	6 7 10 12 26
2016-01-29	17	1st	10 22 28 32 34
2015-12-19	2	3rd	4 9 10 13 20
2015-12-16	1	2nd	4 10 20 27 36
2015-12-12	10	3rd	2 5 10 14 20
2015-11-20	4	2nd	3 10 11 21 22
2015-11-11	5	1st	10 20 25 32 33
2015-10-30	6	2nd	2 10 31 36 39
2015-10-16	18	2nd	4 10 17 30 35
2015-09-04	8	2nd	8 10 11 27 29
2015-08-15	12	2nd	7 10 21 22 33
2015-07-18	4	2nd	8 10 11 13 31
2015-07-10	7	2nd	4 10 29 31 36
2015-06-24	12	2nd	5 10 18 27 33
2015-05-27	3	2nd	8 10 21 30 35
2015-05-20	9	2nd	6 10 21 22 32
2015-04-29	6	1st	10 12 15 26 32
2015-04-15	20	2nd	9 10 11 13 27
2015-02-27	1	2nd	6 10 13 19 21
2015-02-25	10	2nd	7 10 24 30 37
2015-01-31	6	2nd	6 10 22 25 27
2015-01-17	1	2nd	5 10 25 28 38
2015-01-16	17	3rd	4 7 10 19 26
2014-12-06	3	2nd	6 10 11 15 36
2014-11-29	1	2nd	8 10 15 24 31
2014-11-28	6	1st	10 17 26 30 31
2014-11-14	8	2nd	3 10 15 16 28
2014-10-25	4	2nd	9 10 17 27 30
2014-10-17	24	3rd	2 6 10 22 38
2014-08-22	3	2nd	3 10 14 15 37
2014-08-15	16	2nd	8 10 15 28 39
2014-07-09	6	3rd	2 6 10 15 25
2014-06-25	2	1st	10 14 24 25 31
2014-06-20	3	1st	10 15 26 34 35
2014-06-13	8	2nd	1 10 16 17 30
2014-05-24	6	3rd	1 6 10 12 32
2014-05-10	2	2nd	3 10 30 31 36
2014-05-07	2	2nd	8 10 18 33 38
2014-05-02	26	3rd	5 7 10 13 33
2014-03-01	4	2nd	8 10 22 24 29
2014-02-21	7	2nd	7 10 29 35 37
2014-02-05	5	2nd	5 10 17 28 31
2014-01-24	8	3rd	5 7 10 12 29
2014-01-04	2	3rd	1 6 10 38 39
2014-01-01	17	2nd	5 10 11 31 33
2013-11-22	4	2nd	9 10 22 24 38
2013-11-13	5	2nd	2 10 21 25 27
2013-11-01	1	4th	1 2 9 10 34
2013-10-30	9	1st	10 22 24 30 38
2013-10-09	2	3rd	1 5 10 18 37
2013-10-04	12	2nd	4 10 20 22 34
2013-09-06	2	1st	10 22 25 32 34
2013-08-31	4	2nd	8 10 12 34 37
2013-08-23	5	3rd	1 8 10 25 39
2013-08-10	4	1st	10 22 30 31 35
2013-08-02	6	2nd	8 10 20 25 27
2013-07-19	18	1st	10 17 30 35 36
2013-06-07	6	3rd	6 8 10 24 35
2013-05-24	15	1st	10 18 26 31 39
2013-04-19	9	3rd	7 9 10 13 29
2013-03-29	1	2nd	6 10 20 26 33
2013-03-27	5	2nd	9 10 17 31 39
2013-03-15	29	2nd	7 10 18 30 35
2013-01-05	8	2nd	3 10 27 34 39
2012-12-19	4	2nd	4 10 17 31 37
2012-12-08	1	1st	10 13 19 29 34
2012-12-07	3	2nd	2 10 15 30 39
2012-11-30	13	1st	10 18 19 24 34
2012-10-31	10	1st	10 19 21 33 34
2012-10-06	2	2nd	1 10 33 35 39
2012-10-03	7	1st	10 12 15 29 39
2012-09-15	8	1st	10 11 28 31 37
2012-08-29	1	1st	10 13 17 20 39
2012-08-25	1	3rd	3 4 10 11 23
2012-08-24	2	1st	10 12 17 20 31
2012-08-18	12	3rd	4 7 10 13 29
2012-07-21	14	2nd	8 10 20 23 27
2012-06-20	1	2nd	2 10 13 26 29
2012-06-16	29	1st	10 18 26 31 37
2012-04-11	3	1st	10 14 17 20 32
2012-04-04	1	3rd	4 5 10 21 34
2012-03-31	13	1st	10 22 24 27 30
2012-03-02	12	3rd	1 2 10 26 32
2012-02-03	22	2nd	7 10 19 28 31
2011-12-14	17	4th	1 7 9 10 26
2011-11-04	9	2nd	6 10 20 26 35
2011-10-14	5	1st	10 20 23 30 35
2011-10-01	1	3rd	3 9 10 14 15
2011-09-30	5	2nd	3 10 25 33 36
2011-09-17	2	2nd	3 10 20 37 39
2011-09-14	2	1st	10 12 13 31 36
2011-09-09	21	3rd	1 2 10 30 38
2011-07-22	1	2nd	8 10 18 28 31
2011-07-20	2	1st	10 20 22 30 32
2011-07-15	2	2nd	6 10 18 23 38
2011-07-09	4	1st	10 11 27 29 32
2011-07-01	4	3rd	5 7 10 21 34
2011-06-22	1	1st	10 16 21 26 30
2011-06-18	12	2nd	8 10 12 18 29
2011-05-21	3	4th	3 6 8 10 28
2011-05-14	22	3rd	3 4 10 11 20
2011-03-25	1	2nd	8 10 16 19 32
2011-03-23	1	3rd	5 6 10 29 38
2011-03-19	2	2nd	5 10 20 33 36
2011-03-16	4	1st	10 11 19 20 33
2011-03-05	1	2nd	8 10 15 16 25
2011-03-04	8	3rd	3 9 10 15 39
2011-02-12	11	2nd	2 10 17 23 25
2011-01-19	22	2nd	1 10 12 19 28
2010-11-27	1	3rd	7 9 10 20 37
2010-11-26	2	1st	10 14 16 26 31
2010-11-20	2	1st	10 15 20 35 37
2010-11-17	1	1st	10 13 14 24 35
2010-11-13	2	3rd	5 6 10 23 36
2010-11-10	2	2nd	1 10 21 27 30
2010-11-05	7	2nd	8 10 28 36 38
2010-10-20	1	2nd	2 10 29 36 39
2010-10-16	11	1st	10 14 20 23 26
2010-09-22	17	2nd	6 10 13 29 33
2010-08-13	2	1st	10 13 23 34 38
2010-08-07	6	3rd	3 9 10 24 37
2010-07-24	25	3rd	1 7 10 12 25
2010-05-28	8	1st	10 26 27 36 39
2010-05-08	4	5th	5 6 7 8 10
2010-04-24	13	3rd	4 6 10 14 18
2010-03-10	4	4th	3 6 9 10 17
2010-02-24	1	2nd	2 10 11 14 21
2010-02-20	1	2nd	1 10 25 31 34
2010-02-17	1	2nd	9 10 19 21 22
2010-02-13	5	3rd	7 8 10 18 22
2010-01-27	1	2nd	2 10 14 25 27
2010-01-23	—	3rd	4 7 10 12 32