LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇬🇧 0808 8020 133all helplines →

Thunderball · draw

Friday, 23 March 2018

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 4
  3. 10
  4. 28
  5. 35
  6. 1

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 28% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,277 of 3,063 under them

← 2018-03-21All recent draws2018-03-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 4 10 28 35 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 March 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd9th
  • low64th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread81th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 164 of each

2172times
4172times
10172times
28168times
35

Prize breakdown · 2018-03-23

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£532.0Kto 90k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 324%£125.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29%£154.3K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£112.2K
  • 5 other tiers26%£140.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

137times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 91 of each

192times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,276 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 28, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 August 2017 — its closest relative in 1,276 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 March 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

79

The numbers add up to 79 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18≈ 23 by chance£250
  • Match 4331≈ 297 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball749≈ 754 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,255≈ 8.0k by chance£10.00
  • Match 312,533≈ 9.8k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30,867≈ 31k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball37,411≈ 37k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 12,533 winners, 28% more than the 9.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball37,411£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30,867£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,255£10.00
    Match 312,533£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball749£20.00
    Match 4331£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball18£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000