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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 23 February 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 10
  3. 21
  4. 22
  5. 31
  6. 10

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,513 of 3,064 under them

← 2024-02-21All recent draws2024-02-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 10 21 22 31 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 February 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.

  • sum39th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread24th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 322 of each

9298times
10335times
21328times
22332times
31

Prize breakdown · 2024-02-23

  • Lines in play≈ 1.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£584.5Kto 99k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 320%£118.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£181.1K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball20%£119.5K
  • 5 other tiers28%£165.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

342times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 179 of each

10169times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,512 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (9, 10, 21, 22) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 February 2010 — its closest relative in 2,512 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 53% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 February 2024): 31 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

93

The numbers add up to 93 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10, 21–22. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.9 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball28≈ 24 by chance£250
  • Match 4300≈ 316 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball918≈ 803 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,010≈ 8.6k by chance£10.00
  • Match 311,844≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball36,212≈ 33k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball39,842≈ 40k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 10,010 winners, 17% more than the 8.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball39,842£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball36,212£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,010£10.00
    Match 311,844£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball918£20.00
    Match 4300£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball28£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000