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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Friday, 4 September 2015 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2015-09-02 All recent draws 2015-09-05 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 8 10 11 27 29 + 6 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 September 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2015-09-04 Lines in play ≈ 1.2M as the winner counts imply Paid out £1.2M to 106k winning lines Won something 1 in 12 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 1 winner chance said 0.15 Where the money went
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 43% £500.0K Match 3 12% £134.8K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 16% £190.0K 6 other tiers 29% £336.9K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 1≈ 0.15 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
115times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 869 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 6≈ 2.0 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 33≈ 26 by chance £250
Match 4 451≈ 342 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 977≈ 867 by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 10,491≈ 9.3k by chance £10.00
Match 3 13,483≈ 11k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 37,999≈ 36k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 43,024≈ 43k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈1.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 13,483 winners, 20% more than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.