LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇬🇧 0808 8020 133all helplines →

Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 17 October 2018

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 15
  3. 21
  4. 23
  5. 30
  6. 8

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,396 of 3,063 under them

← 2018-10-16All recent draws2018-10-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 15 21 23 30 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 October 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum48th
  • odd64th
  • low31th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 179 of each

10187times
15179times
21196times
23178times
30

Prize breakdown · 2018-10-17

  • Lines in play≈ 1.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£843.3Kto 145k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.22

Where the money went

  • Match 318%£152.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£263.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball22%£183.2K
  • 5 other tiers29%£244.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.22 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

206times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 100 of each

8101times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,395 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 21, 23) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 October 2018 — its closest relative in 1,395 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 October 2018): 23 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

99

The numbers add up to 99 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.9 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball56≈ 37 by chance£250
  • Match 4465≈ 485 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,474≈ 1.2k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,452≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 315,236≈ 16k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball52,640≈ 51k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball61,072≈ 61k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,474 winners, 20% more than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball61,072£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball52,640£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,452£10.00
    Match 315,236£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,474£20.00
    Match 4465£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball56£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000