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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 13 September 2022

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 10
  3. 11
  4. 18
  5. 33
  6. 14

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 27% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,211 of 3,064 under them

← 2022-09-10All recent draws2022-09-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 10 11 18 33 + 1429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 September 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd64th
  • low89th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread65th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 283 of each

3275times
10293times
11279times
18303times
33

Prize breakdown · 2022-09-13

  • Lines in play≈ 897kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£462.0Kto 77k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 322%£103.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£137.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball20%£92.9K
  • 5 other tiers28%£128.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

284times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 158 of each

14162times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,210 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 10, 11) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 December 2021 — its closest relative in 2,210 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 September 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

75

The numbers add up to 75 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 39 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.4 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball22≈ 19 by chance£250
  • Match 4321≈ 246 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball662≈ 624 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,292≈ 6.7k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,298≈ 8.1k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball27,477≈ 26k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball30,957≈ 31k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈897k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 10,298 winners, 27% more than the 8.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball30,957£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball27,477£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,292£10.00
    Match 310,298£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball662£20.00
    Match 4321£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball22£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000