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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 1 July 2025

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 9
  3. 10
  4. 11
  5. 31
  6. 2

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 42% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,795 of 3,064 under them

← 2025-06-28All recent draws2025-07-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 9 10 11 31 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 July 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd64th
  • low89th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread48th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 358 of each

4371times
9333times
10366times
11363times
31

Prize breakdown · 2025-07-01

  • Lines in play≈ 820kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£457.9Kto 72k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 323%£105.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball27%£125.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball19%£84.9K
  • 4 other tiers31%£141.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.10 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

370times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 200 of each

2185times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,794 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 9, 10, 11) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 June 2025 — its closest relative in 2,794 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 56% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 June 2025): 4, 9, 10, 11 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

65

The numbers add up to 65 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10, 10–11. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 4 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.3 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball99≈ 17 by chance£250
  • Match 4340≈ 225 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball695≈ 571 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,908≈ 6.1k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,565≈ 7.4k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball25,134≈ 24k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball28,298≈ 28k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈820k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 10,565 winners, 42% more than the 7.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball28,298£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball25,134£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,908£10.00
    Match 310,565£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball695£20.00
    Match 4340£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball99£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000