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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 14 July 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 10
  3. 14
  4. 30
  5. 36
  6. 13

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,385 of 3,064 under them

← 2023-07-12All recent draws2023-07-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 10 14 30 36 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd1th
  • low64th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread86th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 306 of each

2303times
10319times
14281times
30339times
36

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-14

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£548.3Kto 99k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£102.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£174.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball24%£131.8K
  • 5 other tiers26%£140.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

286times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 170 of each

13190times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,384 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 14, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 May 2023 — its closest relative in 2,384 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 July 2023): 2 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

92

The numbers add up to 92 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball19≈ 27 by chance£250
  • Match 4294≈ 349 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball757≈ 886 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,566≈ 9.4k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,256≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball34,791≈ 37k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball43,940≈ 44k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 757 winners, 15% fewer than the 886 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball43,940£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball34,791£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,566£10.00
    Match 310,256£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball757£20.00
    Match 4294£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball19£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000