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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Saturday, 21 July 2012 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2012-07-20 All recent draws 2012-07-25 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 8 10 20 23 27 + 2 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 July 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2012-07-21 Lines in play ≈ 2.4M as the winner counts imply Paid out £1.4M to 211k winning lines Won something 1 in 11 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.29 Where the money went
Match 3 25% £344.7K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 26% £360.5K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 18% £244.8K 5 other tiers 30% £412.1K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.29 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
46times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 27 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 381 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 7≈ 3.8 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 82≈ 50 by chance £250
Match 4 1,190≈ 648 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 1,995≈ 1.6k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 19,771≈ 18k by chance £10.00
Match 3 34,471≈ 21k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 72,097≈ 68k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 81,599≈ 82k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈2.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,190 winners, 84% more than the 648 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.