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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
GB · ball game
Latest drawSaturday, 10 October 2026
Jackpot£500,000
Top prizeNot won — 11 draws unwon
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 10 Oct 2026, 20:47 UTC.
5 numbers from 1–39, plus 1 from 1–14. 3,062 draws held here since 2010-01-02.
Your numbers, read by every tool
Type the numbers you always play. Has the line ever come up? How close has Thunderball come? What has each number done, what does the line look like, and has the same set turned up anywhere else in the world?
Every tool, for this game
Each one opens with Thunderball already selected. The line under every title is true of this game’s rules right now — not a promise about its next draw.

In 3,062 draws every number is expected about 393 times, and a ball favoured by more than 19% over its share would already have shown — see which ones strayed, and how far chance allows.

A number waits 8 draws on average; 5% of the time it waits 23 or more. It is never “due”.

The 5 numbers add up to about 100, give or take 24. Most tickets sit in that bell — and so do most draws.

43.6% of draws contain two numbers side by side. That is the rules talking, not luck.

741 possible pairs, each expected together 41.3 times so far — and about 7 will look “special” by chance alone.

All 39 numbers as a constellation of who appeared with whom — indistinguishable from a shuffled sky.

52% of draws repeat a number from the draw before. A whole draw repeating: 100.0% likely by now.

Sorted, the numbers sit about 6.7 apart on average — and every “spread” you can name is exactly as likely as every other.

It takes about 32 draws for every one of the 39 numbers to appear at least once. The last few are the slow ones.

8,060,598 possible tickets. Every one has a face — and a typicality score you can look up.

Seven independent tests of randomness run live against all 3,062 draws. Any of them can fail; watch whether they do.

The lowest number lands near 7, the highest near 33. Position is a property of sorting, not of the balls.

5/39 rescaled onto the same axes as every other game here. One law, many machines.

Six documented cases of a beaten lottery. Not one involved patterns in past draws.

What the world believes about 7, 8, 13 and 17 — and what every machine says back.

At 30 million tickets, an average line keeps about 2% of a jackpot it wins. Unpopular numbers keep more — and still lose money.

A full wheel of 10 numbers here is 252 tickets. A guarantee is real; a profit is not.

Five folk claims about 5/39 games, each answered with the closed form that kills it — never a tip for the next draw.
Take the record with youRSSJSON feedCSV, every drawDraw nights, in your calendarAPI

Lock a past-only rule, score it on later draws, and compare every hit with the exact 5-of-39 overlap law.

This is a without-replacement ball game; the Digit Laboratory is for Pick 3 and Pick 4.
Not for this game
The Chernoff Map reads the straight tier of a digit game, which counts tickets on one exact number; a ball game has no such row.
Not for this game
This game draws once a day, so it has no second draw to compare its first with.
Not for this gameThis draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 392 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,061 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 15, 33) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 October 2025 — its closest relative in 3,061 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 October 2026): 4 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 86 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →16 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈1.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 15,518 winners, 10% more than the 14k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 54,051 | £3.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 46,549 | £5.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 12,132 | £10.00 |
| Match 3 | 15,518 | £10.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,107 | £20.00 |
| Match 4 | 446 | £100 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 29 | £250 |
| Match 5 | 2 | £5,000 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | £500,000 |
What the top prize has been, draw by draw. It climbs while nobody wins and drops to the floor when somebody does — the sawtooth every rollover game draws.
The jackpot has gone 12 draws without a winner. The typical wait here is 5.2 draws.
Happenedwhat chance predicts
Completed waits between wins, against the geometric law those waits follow if every draw is an independent chance at the jackpot. The law takes its one parameter from the waits themselves, so this compares shape, not level.
Open any draw to read it by every tool — the same six readings the latest result gets above, each against what chance predicted at the time.
| Draws waited | Happened | Chance says |
|---|---|---|
| 0–1 | 126 | 132.9 |
| 2–3 | 107 | 93.3 |
| 4–5 | 59 | 65.5 |
| 6–7 | 42 | 46.0 |
| 8–9 | 38 | 32.3 |
| 10–11 | 22 | 22.7 |
| 12–13 | 18 | 15.9 |
| 14–15 | 8 | 11.2 |
| 16–17 | 5 | 7.8 |
| 18–19 | 8 | 5.5 |
| 20+ | 13 | 13.0 |
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,061 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 392 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,060 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 4, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 November 2025 — its closest relative in 3,060 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 9 repeated (7% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 109 — the 64th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4, 38–39. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 392 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,059 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 23, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 June 2026 — its closest relative in 3,059 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 October 2026): 9 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 85 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →13 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 392 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,058 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (9, 27, 34, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 December 2019 — its closest relative in 3,058 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 141 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →39 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 392 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,057 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (15, 19, 20, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 June 2023 — its closest relative in 3,057 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 October 2026): 20 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 119 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →35 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 392 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,056 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 20, 23) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 September 2025 — its closest relative in 3,056 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 September 2026): 36 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 85 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →23 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 9% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 392 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,055 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (19, 24, 29, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 November 2022 — its closest relative in 3,055 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 141 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →33 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 392 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,054 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 25, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 September 2026 — its closest relative in 3,054 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (26 September 2026): 17 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 102 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →31 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 391 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,053 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (4, 7, 17, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 March 2015 — its closest relative in 3,053 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (25 September 2026): 12, 37 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 77 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 391 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,052 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (12, 21, 26, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 January 2020 — its closest relative in 3,052 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (23 September 2026): 21 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 123 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →27 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 391 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,051 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (18, 21, 24, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 July 2013 — its closest relative in 3,051 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (22 September 2026): 18, 34 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 105 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →24 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 391 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 3,050 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 18, 32, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 August 2018 — its closest relative in 3,050 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 95 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →18 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →