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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 10 July 2021

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 10
  3. 13
  4. 24
  5. 25
  6. 5

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,966 of 3,064 under them

← 2021-07-09All recent draws2021-07-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 10 13 24 25 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum14th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 252 of each

2244times
10265times
13246times
24260times
25

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-10

  • Lines in play≈ 2.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.1Mto 194k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • Match 318%£205.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£353.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£242.5K
  • 5 other tiers30%£345.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.29 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

235times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 140 of each

5143times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,965 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (2, 10, 13, 24) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 August 2018 — its closest relative in 1,965 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 44% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 July 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

74

The numbers add up to 74 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 3.8 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball73≈ 49 by chance£250
  • Match 4692≈ 642 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,021≈ 1.6k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball19,732≈ 17k by chance£10.00
  • Match 320,499≈ 21k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball70,601≈ 67k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball80,829≈ 81k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 2,021 winners, 24% more than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball80,829£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball70,601£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball19,732£10.00
    Match 320,499£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,021£20.00
    Match 4692£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball73£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000