LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇬🇧 0808 8020 133all helplines →

Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 19 February 2020

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 10
  3. 11
  4. 17
  5. 28
  6. 1

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 79% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,676 of 3,063 under them

← 2020-02-18All recent draws2020-02-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 10 11 17 28 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 February 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.

  • sum11th
  • odd31th
  • low89th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 215 of each

4236times
10224times
11192times
17215times
28

Prize breakdown · 2020-02-19

  • Lines in play≈ 1.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£610.1Kto 94k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 327%£167.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball26%£158.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball17%£106.7K
  • 5 other tiers29%£177.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

212times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 120 of each

1121times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,675 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 17, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 July 2019 — its closest relative in 1,675 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 February 2020): 10 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

70

The numbers add up to 70 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25≈ 22 by chance£250
  • Match 4545≈ 282 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball898≈ 717 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,879≈ 7.6k by chance£10.00
  • Match 316,702≈ 9.3k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31,785≈ 30k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball35,554≈ 36k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 16,702 winners, 79% more than the 9.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball35,554£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31,785£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,879£10.00
    Match 316,702£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball898£20.00
    Match 4545£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball25£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000