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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 2 August 2017

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 10
  3. 15
  4. 19
  5. 24
  6. 13

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 27% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,169 of 3,063 under them

← 2017-07-29All recent draws2017-08-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 10 15 19 24 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 August 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 13% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd64th
  • low89th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 150 of each

7150times
10159times
15146times
19160times
24

Prize breakdown · 2017-08-02

  • Lines in play≈ 1.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£880.3Kto 143k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • Match 322%£191.1K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29%£256.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball20%£172.7K
  • 5 other tiers30%£260.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.21 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

147times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 83 of each

1378times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,168 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 15, 24) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 October 2016 — its closest relative in 1,168 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 July 2017): 10 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

75

The numbers add up to 75 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 55≈ 2.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball42≈ 35 by chance£250
  • Match 4642≈ 457 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,263≈ 1.2k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,517≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 319,107≈ 15k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball51,279≈ 48k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball57,578≈ 58k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 19,107 winners, 27% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball57,578£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball51,279£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,517£10.00
    Match 319,107£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,263£20.00
    Match 4642£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball42£250
    Match 55£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000