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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 27 July 2022

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 7
  3. 10
  4. 28
  5. 33
  6. 10

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 26% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,184 of 3,063 under them

← 2022-07-26All recent draws2022-07-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 7 10 28 33 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 27 July 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.

  • sum21th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread70th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 280 of each

2278times
7295times
10289times
28279times
33

Prize breakdown · 2022-07-27

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.1Mto 100k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball45%£500.0K
  • Match 312%£130.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball16%£178.3K
  • 6 other tiers27%£296.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

278times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 156 of each

10145times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,183 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 7, 10) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 March 2022 — its closest relative in 2,183 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 July 2022): 28 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

80

The numbers add up to 80 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.8 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29≈ 24 by chance£250
  • Match 4392≈ 314 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,000≈ 798 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,147≈ 8.5k by chance£10.00
  • Match 313,072≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball35,669≈ 33k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball39,583≈ 40k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 13,072 winners, 26% more than the 10k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball39,583£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball35,669£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,147£10.00
    Match 313,072£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,000£20.00
    Match 4392£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000