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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 13 September 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 10
  3. 11
  4. 27
  5. 32
  6. 8

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 4% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,629 of 3,064 under them

← 2024-09-11All recent draws2024-09-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 10 11 27 32 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap74th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 337 of each

4351times
10344times
11344times
27332times
32

Prize breakdown · 2024-09-13

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£635.1Kto 110k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£123.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£199.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£135.8K
  • 5 other tiers28%£175.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

355times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 188 of each

8190times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,628 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 11, 27, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 9 July 2011 — its closest relative in 2,628 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 54% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 September 2024): 10, 32 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

84

The numbers add up to 84 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball19≈ 28 by chance£250
  • Match 4389≈ 360 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,008≈ 913 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,695≈ 9.7k by chance£10.00
  • Match 312,361≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball39,984≈ 38k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,277≈ 45k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,008 winners, 10% more than the 913 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball45,277£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball39,984£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball10,695£10.00
    Match 312,361£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,008£20.00
    Match 4389£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball19£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000