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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Saturday, 15 September 2012 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2012-09-14 All recent draws 2012-09-19 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 10 11 28 31 37 + 14 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2012-09-15 Lines in play ≈ 2.6M as the winner counts imply Paid out £1.2M to 214k winning lines Won something 1 in 12 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.32 Where the money went
Match 3 22% £267.7K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 31% £380.2K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 22% £269.9K 5 other tiers 26% £323.3K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.32 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
40times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 405 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 2≈ 4.2 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 60≈ 55 by chance £250
Match 4 748≈ 714 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 1,709≈ 1.8k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 18,928≈ 19k by chance £10.00
Match 3 26,772≈ 24k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 76,031≈ 75k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 89,951≈ 90k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 26,772 winners, 14% more than the 24k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.