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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 10 March 2026

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 22
  3. 23
  4. 29
  5. 30
  6. 12

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 17% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,939 of 3,064 under them

← 2026-03-07All recent draws2026-03-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 22 23 29 30 + 1229 Aug 2026, 21:40 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 March 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd31th
  • low9th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours96th
  • spread17th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 377 of each

10383times
22381times
23368times
29391times
30

Prize breakdown · 2026-03-10

  • Lines in play≈ 874kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£435.5Kto 73k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 321%£92.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£130.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£90.5K
  • 5 other tiers28%£122.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

410times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 210 of each

12209times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,938 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 23, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 April 2025 — its closest relative in 2,938 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 March 2026): 10 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

114

The numbers add up to 114 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23, 29–30. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 1.4 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15≈ 18 by chance£250
  • Match 4228≈ 240 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball604≈ 608 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,860≈ 6.5k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,221≈ 7.9k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball26,120≈ 25k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball30,158≈ 30k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈874k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 9,221 winners, 17% more than the 7.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball30,158£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball26,120£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball6,860£10.00
    Match 39,221£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball604£20.00
    Match 4228£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000