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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 16 June 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 10
  3. 16
  4. 28
  5. 39
  6. 14

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 20% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,369 of 3,064 under them

← 2023-06-14All recent draws2023-06-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 10 16 28 39 + 1429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 June 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

66oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 89% of every possible ticket.

  • sum47th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread86th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 304 of each

5300times
10316times
16304times
28309times
39

Prize breakdown · 2023-06-16

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£517.9Kto 88k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 322%£114.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£155.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£108.9K
  • 5 other tiers27%£139.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

290times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 169 of each

14173times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,368 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 10, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 May 2023 — its closest relative in 2,368 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 June 2023): 10 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

98

The numbers add up to 98 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29≈ 22 by chance£250
  • Match 4321≈ 288 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball770≈ 732 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,954≈ 7.8k by chance£10.00
  • Match 311,403≈ 9.5k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31,143≈ 30k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball36,298≈ 36k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 11,403 winners, 20% more than the 9.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball36,298£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31,143£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,954£10.00
    Match 311,403£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball770£20.00
    Match 4321£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29£250
    Match 51£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000