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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 22 November 2025

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 10
  3. 17
  4. 21
  5. 30
  6. 5

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 17% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,878 of 3,064 under them

← 2025-11-21All recent draws2025-11-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 10 17 21 30 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 November 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.

  • sum27th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread28th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 369 of each

7379times
10376times
17358times
21379times
30

Prize breakdown · 2025-11-22

  • Lines in play≈ 1.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£2.0Mto 163k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2 winnerschance said 0.23

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball50%£1.0M
  • Match 310%£199.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball15%£291.8K
  • 6 other tiers26%£517.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 0.23 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

404times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 206 of each

5213times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,877 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 17, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 November 2025 — its closest relative in 2,877 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 November 2025): 7, 17, 21 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

85

The numbers add up to 85 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 4 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 55≈ 3.0 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball77≈ 40 by chance£250
  • Match 4743≈ 516 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,774≈ 1.3k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,814≈ 14k by chance£10.00
  • Match 319,951≈ 17k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball58,369≈ 54k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball65,025≈ 65k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 743 winners, 44% more than the 516 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball65,025£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball58,369£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,814£10.00
    Match 319,951£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,774£20.00
    Match 4743£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball77£250
    Match 55£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2£500,000