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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 20 December 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 13
  3. 16
  4. 26
  5. 39
  6. 12

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 9% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,685 of 3,063 under them

← 2024-12-18All recent draws2024-12-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 13 16 26 39 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 December 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

76oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 76 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum56th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread59th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 344 of each

10354times
13343times
16340times
26358times
39

Prize breakdown · 2024-12-20

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£529.6Kto 90k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.14

Where the money went

  • Match 321%£109.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30%£157.8K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball22%£115.9K
  • 5 other tiers28%£145.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.14 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

331times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 192 of each

12188times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,684 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (13, 16, 26, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 May 2017 — its closest relative in 2,684 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 55% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 December 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.8 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30≈ 24 by chance£250
  • Match 4352≈ 307 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball725≈ 779 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,870≈ 8.3k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,993≈ 10k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31,569≈ 32k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball38,629≈ 39k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 10,993 winners, 9% more than the 10k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball38,629£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31,569£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,870£10.00
    Match 310,993£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball725£20.00
    Match 4352£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000