LotteryOracle
GamesForecastPlaygroundCase filesMy numbers

Loading…

Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle reports what happened; it does not predict what is next. Every draw is independent — no number is ever "due".

GamesPlaygroundCase filesThe weekDataAboutMethodologyPrivacy
Built byejoyful

Responsible play.A lottery costs more than it pays back; if it stops being fun, help is free and confidential:🇬🇧 0808 8020 133all helplines →

Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 11 September 2019

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 10
  3. 19
  4. 21
  5. 28
  6. 7

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 3% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,584 of 3,064 under them

← 2019-09-10All recent draws2019-09-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 10 19 21 28 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 September 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap18th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 203 of each

9195times
10210times
19212times
21224times
28

Prize breakdown · 2019-09-11

  • Lines in play≈ 1.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£832.9Kto 141k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 11lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.20

Where the money went

  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball19%£154.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£263.8K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball20%£167.3K
  • 5 other tiers30%£247.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.20 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

195times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 113 of each

7104times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,583 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (9, 10, 19, 21) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 February 2010 — its closest relative in 1,583 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 38% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 September 2019): 9 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

87

The numbers add up to 87 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.6 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball37≈ 34 by chance£250
  • Match 4463≈ 443 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,577≈ 1.1k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,446≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 315,021≈ 15k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball52,766≈ 46k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball55,783≈ 56k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,577 winners, 40% more than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball55,783£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball52,766£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball15,446£10.00
    Match 315,021£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,577£20.00
    Match 4463£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball37£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000