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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Saturday, 15 August 2015 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2015-08-14 All recent draws 2015-08-19 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 7 10 21 22 33 + 11 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2015-08-15 Lines in play ≈ 2.7M as the winner counts imply Paid out £1.4M to 229k winning lines Won something 1 in 12 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.33 Where the money went
Match 3 21% £293.6K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 29% £405.5K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 20% £276.0K 5 other tiers 31% £432.1K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.33 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
99times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 861 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 8≈ 4.3 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 84≈ 56 by chance £250
Match 4 981≈ 731 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 2,305≈ 1.9k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 22,690≈ 20k by chance £10.00
Match 3 29,360≈ 24k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 81,105≈ 77k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 91,989≈ 92k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈2.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 981 winners, 34% more than the 731 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.