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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 8 March 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 17
  3. 18
  4. 25
  5. 37
  6. 11

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,312 of 3,063 under them

← 2023-03-07All recent draws2023-03-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 17 18 25 37 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

75oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 99% of every possible ticket.

  • sum61th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread48th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 296 of each

10303times
17283times
18314times
25278times
37

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-08

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£575.0Kto 104k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 318%£105.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33%£188.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£134.8K
  • 4 other tiers25%£146.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

276times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 165 of each

11166times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,311 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 18, 25) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 February 2023 — its closest relative in 2,311 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 March 2023): 10 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

107

The numbers add up to 107 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

25 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 2.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15≈ 27 by chance£250
  • Match 4304≈ 357 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball821≈ 906 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,593≈ 9.7k by chance£10.00
  • Match 310,531≈ 12k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,680≈ 37k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball44,927≈ 45k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 10,531 winners, 11% fewer than the 12k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball44,927£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,680£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,593£10.00
    Match 310,531£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball821£20.00
    Match 4304£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000