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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Friday, 4 October 2013 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2013-10-02 All recent draws 2013-10-05 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 4 10 20 22 34 + 2 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 October 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2013-10-04 Lines in play ≈ 878k as the winner counts imply Paid out £478.9K to 75k winning lines Won something 1 in 12 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.11 Where the money went
Match 3 23% £112.2K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 27% £128.7K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 19% £91.0K 5 other tiers 31% £147.0K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.11 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
68times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 569 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 4≈ 1.4 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 12≈ 19 by chance £250
Match 4 406≈ 241 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 689≈ 611 by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 6,959≈ 6.5k by chance £10.00
Match 3 11,224≈ 7.9k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 25,744≈ 25k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 30,322≈ 30k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈878k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 11,224 winners, 41% more than the 7.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.