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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 15 August 2020

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 10
  3. 15
  4. 21
  5. 39
  6. 12

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,778 of 3,064 under them

← 2020-08-14All recent draws2020-08-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 10 15 21 39 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum28th
  • odd89th
  • low64th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 228 of each

1220times
10242times
15229times
21246times
39

Prize breakdown · 2020-08-15

  • Lines in play≈ 2.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.4Mto 159k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.25

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball35%£500.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball20%£275.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball15%£208.6K
  • 6 other tiers30%£428.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.25 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

218times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 127 of each

12127times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,777 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 21, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 August 2019 — its closest relative in 1,777 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 August 2020): 1, 10 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

86

The numbers add up to 86 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 3.2 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball37≈ 42 by chance£250
  • Match 4543≈ 552 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,320≈ 1.4k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,880≈ 15k by chance£10.00
  • Match 318,505≈ 18k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball55,188≈ 58k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball69,517≈ 70k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 13,880 winners, 7% fewer than the 15k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball69,517£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball55,188£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,880£10.00
    Match 318,505£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,320£20.00
    Match 4543£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball37£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1£500,000