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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 3 October 2020

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 6
  3. 10
  4. 11
  5. 28
  6. 7

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,806 of 3,064 under them

← 2020-10-02All recent draws2020-10-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 6 10 11 28 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd31th
  • low89th
  • widest gap79th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 231 of each

3226times
6251times
10246times
11208times
28

Prize breakdown · 2020-10-03

  • Lines in play≈ 2.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£1.3Mto 220k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18%£234.7K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£412.1K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball20%£263.5K
  • 5 other tiers30%£391.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.32 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

228times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 129 of each

7119times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,805 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (3, 6, 10, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 May 2011 — its closest relative in 1,805 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 42% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 October 2020): 6 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

58

The numbers add up to 58 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 54≈ 4.1 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball67≈ 54 by chance£250
  • Match 4759≈ 697 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,280≈ 1.8k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball23,466≈ 19k by chance£10.00
  • Match 323,324≈ 23k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball82,426≈ 73k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball87,820≈ 88k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 2,280 winners, 29% more than the 1.8k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball87,820£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball82,426£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball23,466£10.00
    Match 323,324£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,280£20.00
    Match 4759£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball67£250
    Match 54£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000