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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Saturday, 25 August 2012 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2012-08-24 All recent draws 2012-08-29 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 3 4 10 11 23 + 5 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2012-08-25 Lines in play ≈ 3.3M as the winner counts imply Paid out £2.3M to 298k winning lines Won something 1 in 11 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 1 winner chance said 0.40 Where the money went
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 22% £500.0K Match 3 16% £357.0K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 24% £560.3K 6 other tiers 38% £882.1K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 1≈ 0.40 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
56times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 396 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 3≈ 5.3 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 89≈ 69 by chance £250
Match 4 1,085≈ 894 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 3,321≈ 2.3k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 33,225≈ 24k by chance £10.00
Match 3 35,704≈ 29k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 112,055≈ 94k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 112,548≈ 113k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 3,321 winners, 46% more than the 2.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.