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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Wednesday, 7 February 2024

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 7
  3. 10
  4. 13
  5. 30
  6. 9

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 30% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,504 of 3,064 under them

← 2024-02-06All recent draws2024-02-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 7 10 13 30 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 February 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd64th
  • low89th
  • widest gap79th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread48th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 321 of each

3302times
7333times
10332times
13315times
30

Prize breakdown · 2024-02-07

  • Lines in play≈ 1.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£645.5Kto 107k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 323%£147.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball29%£186.3K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball20%£130.1K
  • 4 other tiers28%£181.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.16 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

359times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 179 of each

9155times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,503 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 10, 13) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 December 2023 — its closest relative in 2,503 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 February 2024): 3 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

63

The numbers add up to 63 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 2.0 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27≈ 27 by chance£250
  • Match 4546≈ 345 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,006≈ 875 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,994≈ 9.3k by chance£10.00
  • Match 314,764≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,259≈ 36k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball43,378≈ 43k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 14,764 winners, 30% more than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball43,378£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,259£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,994£10.00
    Match 314,764£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,006£20.00
    Match 4546£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000