Number 16

In Thunderball under the 5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010 rules — 3,063 draws, 5 from 1–39.

396times drawn · chance expected 393 +0.18σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

7.7average wait between appearances · chance says 7.8

43longest completed wait · 71% chance of one at least that long

16 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 396 times in 3,063 draws against 392.7 expected, +0.18σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 16, draw by draw

Drawn 396 times in 3,063 draws · average wait 7.7 draws · longest completed wait 43 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 16 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest50 · chance 47.5
2nd smallest148 · chance 142.5
3rd smallest135 · chance 142.5
4th smallest55 · chance 56.1
5th smallest8 · chance 7.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 41.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

26 4 17 29 22 30

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 38 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 16 is picked about 1.22× as often as an indifferent choice — 15th most popular of 39. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 16 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-10	12	3rd	4 15 16 18 33
2026-09-19	2	3rd	2 15 16 29 30
2026-09-16	2	3rd	6 9 16 20 36
2026-09-12	5	3rd	5 11 16

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 16 is drawn with probability 5/39 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-03-21	2	3rd	7 11 16 26 38
2026-03-18	9	1st	16 26 30 31 36
2026-03-03	2	3rd	10 15 16 17 24
2026-02-27	8	2nd	11 16 26 29 34
2026-02-13	5	4th	1 11 13 16 27
2026-02-04	5	1st	16 29 32 36 37
2026-01-27	7	2nd	14 16 22 27 29
2026-01-14	5	1st	16 17 22 33 39
2026-01-06	32	3rd	1 2 16 22 30
2025-11-11	5	4th	6 9 15 16 35
2025-11-01	12	1st	16 25 26 36 38
2025-10-11	2	2nd	4 16 18 26 39
2025-10-08	3	2nd	13 16 23 26 39
2025-10-03	2	2nd	7 16 26 31 37
2025-09-30	13	2nd	11 16 23 25 37
2025-09-06	1	3rd	1 3 16 22 29
2025-09-05	2	3rd	3 7 16 27 36
2025-09-02	13	4th	3 7 10 16 39
2025-08-09	16	1st	16 25 28 31 33
2025-07-12	25	3rd	7 8 16 19 38
2025-05-30	13	1st	16 21 25 26 34
2025-05-07	9	2nd	4 16 18 26 38
2025-04-22	7	3rd	4 8 16 28 29
2025-04-09	10	3rd	9 13 16 18 25
2025-03-22	10	3rd	5 11 16 38 39
2025-03-05	15	2nd	1 16 21 31 36
2025-02-07	6	3rd	12 14 16 35 38
2025-01-28	8	3rd	2 3 16 19 24
2025-01-14	2	2nd	10 16 18 21 22
2025-01-10	1	1st	16 18 23 27 37
2025-01-08	11	3rd	2 14 16 30 35
2024-12-20	2	3rd	10 13 16 26 39
2024-12-17	1	1st	16 17 31 32 36
2024-12-14	1	3rd	3 9 16 23 33
2024-12-13	1	2nd	3 16 17 18 28
2024-12-11	13	4th	8 9 15 16 30
2024-11-19	30	3rd	3 4 16 20 22
2024-09-27	4	5th	3 4 8 14 16
2024-09-20	1	3rd	3 5 16 37 38
2024-09-18	4	1st	16 18 27 29 37
2024-09-11	8	2nd	10 16 22 24 32
2024-08-28	2	4th	4 6 13 16 28
2024-08-24	6	3rd	5 14 16 34 39
2024-08-14	14	3rd	11 15 16 17 28
2024-07-20	2	4th	12 13 14 16 18
2024-07-17	18	3rd	11 14 16 32 39
2024-06-15	9	2nd	12 16 19 24 36
2024-05-31	3	3rd	8 11 16 27 29
2024-05-25	7	4th	3 5 13 16 36
2024-05-14	15	2nd	7 16 17 27 36
2024-04-17	10	2nd	7 16 29 32 35
2024-03-30	25	4th	5 12 13 16 32
2024-02-16	25	3rd	1 4 16 26 34
2024-01-03	5	3rd	1 2 16 29 32
2023-12-26	1	3rd	3 14 16 26 29
2023-12-23	5	4th	5 10 15 16 35
2023-12-15	3	2nd	11 16 18 29 37
2023-12-09	8	2nd	7 16 25 28 31
2023-11-25	1	2nd	3 16 29 33 38
2023-11-24	2	3rd	9 15 16 22 30
2023-11-21	13	2nd	6 16 20 25 36
2023-10-28	2	3rd	2 12 16 17 32
2023-10-25	6	1st	16 19 21 26 39
2023-10-14	40	4th	1 6 7 16 36
2023-08-05	6	2nd	11 16 21 30 31
2023-07-26	1	1st	16 22 24 33 35
2023-07-25	22	2nd	13 16 17 30 37
2023-06-16	10	3rd	5 10 16 28 39
2023-05-30	16	2nd	9 16 28 34 36
2023-05-02	13	4th	4 6 8 16 26
2023-04-08	3	3rd	1 8 16 22 27
2023-04-04	3	2nd	5 16 23 27 30
2023-03-29	8	2nd	7 16 21 30 35
2023-03-15	1	2nd	5 16 18 25 32
2023-03-14	8	3rd	1 7 16 25 33
2023-02-28	2	2nd	12 16 19 26 30
2023-02-24	4	3rd	1 15 16 24 28
2023-02-17	5	2nd	6 16 28 35 37
2023-02-08	6	2nd	6 16 35 37 38
2023-01-28	2	1st	16 20 24 32 33
2023-01-25	11	3rd	5 12 16 17 26
2023-01-06	1	3rd	8 10 16 18 31
2023-01-04	5	4th	5 10 14 16 19
2022-12-27	8	4th	5 7 14 16 35
2022-12-13	4	3rd	2 6 16 22 32
2022-12-06	22	3rd	5 12 16 28 31
2022-10-28	5	2nd	12 16 19 26 31
2022-10-19	2	2nd	9 16 29 32 38
2022-10-15	20	3rd	5 13 16 17 38
2022-09-10	4	2nd	14 16 22 28 36
2022-09-03	2	2nd	4 16 19 22 23
2022-08-31	21	2nd	15 16 17 22 34
2022-07-26	7	4th	3 4 13 16 28
2022-07-13	1	4th	11 12 14 16 39
2022-07-12	2	2nd	2 16 28 34 35
2022-07-08	6	1st	16 21 22 25 30
2022-06-28	11	5th	2 6 8 11 16
2022-06-08	30	2nd	9 16 19 26 39
2022-04-16	2	4th	4 8 12 16 26
2022-04-13	15	3rd	2 6 16 31 35
2022-03-18	2	3rd	5 15 16 30 35
2022-03-15	23	1st	16 18 23 26 30
2022-02-02	7	2nd	11 16 21 23 27
2022-01-21	1	4th	4 8 11 16 38
2022-01-19	5	3rd	5 12 16 17 38
2022-01-11	2	3rd	6 7 16 17 18
2022-01-07	1	3rd	4 15 16 30 34
2022-01-05	19	2nd	5 16 21 30 34
2021-12-03	3	3rd	4 11 16 35 36
2021-11-27	8	2nd	2 16 17 21 36
2021-11-13	6	2nd	1 16 27 32 33
2021-11-03	13	3rd	7 10 16 22 35
2021-10-12	22	2nd	5 16 29 30 36
2021-09-03	23	2nd	7 16 18 32 33
2021-07-24	7	2nd	8 16 19 24 35
2021-07-13	17	3rd	10 12 16 25 29
2021-06-12	15	2nd	12 16 24 34 38
2021-05-18	7	3rd	8 11 16 27 31
2021-05-05	4	2nd	9 16 24 27 34
2021-04-28	3	4th	7 9 10 16 26
2021-04-23	37	2nd	4 16 28 34 38
2021-02-17	6	1st	16 25 26 27 30
2021-02-06	8	3rd	6 14 16 31 32
2021-01-23	24	2nd	4 16 26 29 39
2020-12-12	15	2nd	10 16 24 37 39
2020-11-17	14	3rd	6 15 16 33 35
2020-10-23	14	3rd	8 11 16 34 39
2020-09-29	5	4th	11 12 15 16 17
2020-09-19	4	1st	16 24 34 37 38
2020-09-12	1	4th	2 5 6 16 33
2020-09-11	2	2nd	5 16 18 30 35
2020-09-08	7	3rd	12 15 16 24 29
2020-08-26	9	4th	1 12 15 16 22
2020-08-11	7	3rd	2 6 16 20 38
2020-07-29	6	1st	16 26 30 31 39
2020-07-18	4	1st	16 22 27 30 37
2020-07-11	7	2nd	8 16 23 29 38
2020-06-30	4	2nd	10 16 25 27 35
2020-06-23	5	4th	4 7 10 16 22
2020-06-13	2	2nd	10 16 27 29 33
2020-06-10	1	3rd	7 9 16 28 37
2020-06-09	11	1st	16 17 22 31 39
2020-05-20	15	3rd	8 11 16 22 25
2020-04-24	20	1st	16 19 32 34 39
2020-03-20	20	3rd	5 12 16 18 35
2020-02-14	6	5th	3 7 8 10 16
2020-02-04	1	1st	16 21 26 29 33
2020-02-01	10	1st	16 17 29 32 38
2020-01-15	5	4th	8 12 14 16 39
2020-01-07	2	1st	16 19 21 35 37
2020-01-03	9	2nd	13 16 17 28 38
2019-12-18	5	3rd	4 6 16 17 23
2019-12-10	14	3rd	1 9 16 27 32
2019-11-15	1	1st	16 17 28 32 39
2019-11-13	15	3rd	2 14 16 30 33
2019-10-18	7	3rd	4 14 16 17 27
2019-10-05	16	2nd	1 16 23 28 29
2019-09-07	11	2nd	5 16 23 26 34
2019-08-20	4	4th	3 9 15 16 37
2019-08-13	1	4th	3 4 12 16 32
2019-08-10	4	4th	5 6 13 16 29
2019-08-03	6	4th	2 9 12 16 35
2019-07-24	3	3rd	4 8 16 19 22
2019-07-19	3	3rd	9 10 16 25 39
2019-07-13	2	3rd	10 14 16 18 20
2019-07-10	30	4th	6 8 12 16 36
2019-05-18	9	3rd	9 15 16 30 34
2019-05-03	6	2nd	7 16 22 30 38
2019-04-23	4	4th	4 11 12 16 34
2019-04-16	7	3rd	2 14 16 22 38
2019-04-03	1	2nd	3 16 26 35 36
2019-04-02	1	2nd	3 16 31 36 37
2019-03-30	1	4th	6 10 12 16 30
2019-03-29	13	3rd	3 7 16 29 32
2019-03-06	2	2nd	15 16 17 20 34
2019-03-02	7	3rd	3 9 16 23 28
2019-02-19	4	2nd	13 16 19 31 33
2019-02-12	2	1st	16 21 26 36 38
2019-02-08	20	2nd	12 16 17 35 38
2019-01-04	6	3rd	5 8 16 20 37
2018-12-25	2	3rd	6 11 16 30 36
2018-12-21	12	3rd	14 15 16 20 25
2018-11-30	9	3rd	4 7 16 24 34
2018-11-14	12	2nd	4 16 17 21 26
2018-10-24	10	1st	16 21 24 27 37
2018-10-06	2	5th	4 6 11 12 16
2018-10-03	12	2nd	13 16 21 30 37
2018-09-12	21	2nd	12 16 31 34 38
2018-08-07	1	1st	16 21 27 29 38
2018-08-04	12	3rd	6 11 16 29 33
2018-07-14	11	2nd	1 16 26 28 36
2018-06-26	3	2nd	13 16 20 27 31
2018-06-20	4	3rd	5 9 16 17 29
2018-06-13	5	2nd	1 16 17 31 34
2018-06-05	5	4th	7 10 13 16 31
2018-05-26	9	2nd	14 16 19 27 33
2018-05-11	2	2nd	11 16 17 29 37
2018-05-08	2	5th	6 9 12 15 16
2018-05-04	2	4th	7 10 13 16 19
2018-05-01	11	3rd	2 4 16 20 21
2018-04-11	9	4th	3 10 14 16 22
2018-03-27	10	2nd	3 16 18 21 36
2018-03-09	8	1st	16 18 28 34 36
2018-02-23	1	5th	1 2 7 13 16
2018-02-21	2	3rd	11 13 16 31 37
2018-02-17	14	2nd	9 16 21 24 27
2018-01-24	1	3rd	1 11 16 25 37
2018-01-20	6	3rd	5 15 16 34 35
2018-01-06	5	3rd	4 6 16 24 34
2017-12-27	9	3rd	4 15 16 27 32
2017-12-06	2	4th	2 10 13 16 25
2017-12-01	12	1st	16 22 26 34 39
2017-11-03	9	1st	16 23 25 26 32
2017-10-13	1	3rd	10 13 16 17 36
2017-10-11	19	2nd	4 16 20 29 39
2017-08-26	3	2nd	9 16 20 22 31
2017-08-19	3	2nd	4 16 18 28 35
2017-08-12	3	4th	4 5 7 16 31
2017-08-05	1	4th	1 9 14 16 35
2017-08-04	14	2nd	2 16 27 28 37
2017-07-01	1	2nd	2 16 18 30 37
2017-06-30	6	2nd	15 16 22 31 35
2017-06-16	1	3rd	3 15 16 17 37
2017-06-14	2	2nd	10 16 19 29 31
2017-06-09	4	1st	16 26 32 33 35
2017-05-31	1	3rd	9 12 16 30 37
2017-05-27	1	2nd	13 16 18 26 39
2017-05-26	13	4th	3 13 15 16 18
2017-04-26	4	2nd	13 16 17 19 36
2017-04-15	2	2nd	5 16 18 29 31
2017-04-12	6	2nd	6 16 17 19 20
2017-03-29	4	4th	3 4 15 16 34
2017-03-18	1	3rd	2 7 16 25 37
2017-03-17	6	3rd	4 8 16 28 32
2017-03-03	17	2nd	15 16 17 24 31
2017-01-21	5	3rd	8 15 16 23 25
2017-01-11	10	2nd	8 16 27 29 35
2016-12-17	18	2nd	10 16 21 28 38
2016-11-05	3	2nd	2 16 18 24 26
2016-10-29	19	3rd	4 5 16 19 32
2016-09-16	13	1st	16 21 22 33 39
2016-08-17	5	3rd	11 15 16 22 38
2016-08-05	3	3rd	4 11 16 24 38
2016-07-29	1	3rd	6 7 16 22 29
2016-07-27	20	5th	8 12 13 14 16
2016-06-10	4	2nd	11 16 21 26 28
2016-06-01	7	2nd	13 16 24 29 33
2016-05-14	2	3rd	11 15 16 22 34
2016-05-11	11	3rd	6 10 16 25 27
2016-04-15	2	3rd	6 14 16 30 38
2016-04-09	2	2nd	3 16 19 26 30
2016-04-06	4	2nd	4 16 20 23 39
2016-03-26	7	3rd	3 13 16 18 32
2016-03-11	15	3rd	1 12 16 21 24
2016-02-05	1	1st	16 17 20 22 29
2016-02-03	5	2nd	14 16 17 26 35
2016-01-22	6	2nd	4 16 25 26 30
2016-01-08	3	4th	3 7 12 16 34
2016-01-01	6	3rd	1 15 16 17 23
2015-12-18	9	4th	4 5 6 16 25
2015-11-27	1	3rd	3 8 16 22 34
2015-11-25	4	3rd	3 12 16 27 28
2015-11-14	12	3rd	3 5 16 27 29
2015-10-17	6	2nd	9 16 19 30 32
2015-10-03	19	4th	2 11 12 16 23
2015-08-21	6	3rd	4 8 16 23 38
2015-08-07	2	1st	16 19 23 30 36
2015-08-01	1	2nd	4 16 26 29 34
2015-07-31	6	2nd	15 16 20 24 27
2015-07-17	8	1st	16 19 21 28 38
2015-06-27	11	2nd	8 16 18 25 27
2015-06-03	4	2nd	3 16 21 28 32
2015-05-23	16	3rd	2 15 16 31 37
2015-04-17	12	2nd	3 16 17 25 33
2015-03-20	12	3rd	6 9 16 34 35
2015-02-20	3	2nd	3 16 18 30 38
2015-02-13	1	3rd	8 11 16 25 28
2015-02-11	12	2nd	13 16 19 26 31
2015-01-14	11	4th	9 12 14 16 24
2014-12-19	2	1st	16 19 26 32 36
2014-12-13	13	2nd	2 16 19 23 25
2014-11-14	13	4th	3 10 15 16 28
2014-10-15	4	3rd	9 12 16 31 38
2014-10-04	11	4th	6 9 12 16 36
2014-09-10	12	3rd	7 9 16 31 36
2014-08-13	20	2nd	5 16 17 23 35
2014-06-27	5	3rd	1 9 16 19 21
2014-06-14	1	2nd	3 16 17 32 38
2014-06-13	6	3rd	1 10 16 17 30
2014-05-30	5	3rd	1 4 16 21 31
2014-05-17	8	2nd	11 16 25 31 35
2014-04-30	1	2nd	7 16 17 23 26
2014-04-26	5	3rd	11 13 16 26 27
2014-04-16	7	2nd	7 16 19 25 27
2014-03-29	20	3rd	5 13 16 22 31
2014-02-12	1	3rd	4 14 16 18 32
2014-02-08	1	3rd	4 5 16 30 38
2014-02-07	10	4th	2 7 11 16 39
2014-01-15	1	2nd	3 16 20 22 26
2014-01-11	2	2nd	8 16 22 24 36
2014-01-08	4	1st	16 18 21 22 23
2013-12-28	8	1st	16 17 23 24 35
2013-12-11	3	2nd	5 16 31 33 36
2013-12-04	6	2nd	12 16 28 33 35
2013-11-20	7	4th	1 11 14 16 19
2013-11-02	3	2nd	12 16 21 24 38
2013-10-26	2	3rd	1 15 16 17 36
2013-10-23	4	1st	16 17 24 26 34
2013-10-12	11	1st	16 21 23 31 36
2013-09-18	21	1st	16 18 25 30 38
2013-07-31	1	2nd	14 16 19 21 31
2013-07-27	1	1st	16 18 21 24 34
2013-07-26	13	2nd	5 16 19 30 39
2013-06-26	4	3rd	3 9 16 22 35
2013-06-15	1	2nd	14 16 18 22 39
2013-06-14	43	1st	16 20 22 37 39
2013-03-06	13	2nd	1 16 26 29 36
2013-02-02	42	2nd	6 16 17 28 33
2012-10-27	1	3rd	6 15 16 19 28
2012-10-26	1	3rd	4 5 16 25 28
2012-10-24	3	3rd	6 7 16 29 34
2012-10-17	7	3rd	2 9 16 31 33
2012-09-29	7	4th	2 9 13 16 20
2012-09-14	2	2nd	5 16 18 21 30
2012-09-08	26	1st	16 20 23 25 28
2012-07-11	6	3rd	1 13 16 26 32
2012-06-27	2	2nd	3 16 18 19 38
2012-06-22	10	2nd	4 16 20 25 34
2012-05-30	12	2nd	12 16 20 22 33
2012-05-02	7	2nd	13 16 22 23 36
2012-04-14	8	4th	1 7 8 16 18
2012-03-28	4	4th	4 11 13 16 27
2012-03-17	23	2nd	15 16 18 29 32
2012-01-25	4	2nd	9 16 19 29 36
2012-01-14	4	2nd	4 16 17 32 33
2012-01-06	2	2nd	8 16 17 28 30
2011-12-31	1	2nd	8 16 21 24 32
2011-12-30	18	3rd	5 13 16 18 25
2011-11-18	9	1st	16 29 30 32 34
2011-10-28	7	2nd	11 16 19 30 33
2011-10-12	15	3rd	12 13 16 28 32
2011-09-07	9	2nd	5 16 20 26 38
2011-08-17	19	3rd	2 11 16 23 31
2011-07-02	5	3rd	2 9 16 17 34
2011-06-22	3	2nd	10 16 21 26 30
2011-06-15	5	3rd	5 11 16 23 32
2011-06-03	2	1st	16 22 26 31 37
2011-05-28	9	2nd	14 16 21 27 37
2011-05-07	6	3rd	6 12 16 17 19
2011-04-23	6	4th	2 14 15 16 37
2011-04-09	6	2nd	1 16 19 27 29
2011-03-26	1	2nd	8 16 21 32 35
2011-03-25	6	3rd	8 10 16 19 32
2011-03-11	2	2nd	4 16 26 27 32
2011-03-05	14	4th	8 10 15 16 25
2011-02-02	14	3rd	6 11 16 23 37
2010-12-31	8	3rd	5 11 16 30 34
2010-12-11	7	1st	16 26 33 35 38
2010-11-26	21	3rd	10 14 16 26 31
2010-10-08	9	5th	1 5 7 8 16
2010-09-17	1	3rd	12 15 16 29 35
2010-09-15	4	4th	3 6 15 16 38
2010-09-04	19	2nd	11 16 23 29 34
2010-07-23	5	3rd	2 4 16 23 39
2010-07-10	8	2nd	1 16 18 20 31
2010-06-23	1	2nd	4 16 26 27 36
2010-06-19	19	4th	5 12 13 16 30
2010-05-05	5	3rd	6 8 16 18 20
2010-04-17	1	4th	3 8 9 16 32
2010-04-14	1	3rd	13 15 16 22 29
2010-04-10	20	3rd	4 5 16 30 32
2010-01-30	—	1st	16 17 22 26 34