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Thunderball · draw

Tuesday, 21 March 2023

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 10
  3. 14
  4. 19
  5. 39
  6. 4

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,319 of 3,064 under them

← 2023-03-18All recent draws2023-03-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 10 14 19 39 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 March 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.

  • sum24th
  • odd64th
  • low89th
  • widest gap91th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 297 of each

1290times
10305times
14274times
19307times
39

Prize breakdown · 2023-03-21

  • Lines in play≈ 1.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£482.5Kto 86k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£93.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£153.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball23%£112.2K
  • 4 other tiers26%£123.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.13 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

284times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 166 of each

4164times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,318 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 10, 14, 19) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 September 2021 — its closest relative in 2,318 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 March 2023): 19 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

83

The numbers add up to 83 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.7 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball19≈ 23 by chance£250
  • Match 4281≈ 297 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball703≈ 754 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,684≈ 8.0k by chance£10.00
  • Match 39,359≈ 9.8k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30,592≈ 31k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball37,397≈ 37k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 703 winners, 7% fewer than the 754 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball37,397£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball30,592£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball7,684£10.00
    Match 39,359£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball703£20.00
    Match 4281£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball19£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000