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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Saturday, 2 July 2022

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 10
  4. 37
  5. 38
  6. 11

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 27% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 2,170 of 3,063 under them

← 2022-07-01All recent draws2022-07-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 10 37 38 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 July 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd64th
  • low64th
  • widest gap99th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread97th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 278 of each

1260times
3272times
10288times
37256times
38

Prize breakdown · 2022-07-02

  • Lines in play≈ 2.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£839.2Kto 157k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 13lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • Match 317%£138.9K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball33%£279.7K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%£218.7K
  • 5 other tiers24%£201.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.26 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

269times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 155 of each

11158times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,169 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 3, 10, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 February 2020 — its closest relative in 2,169 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 47% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 July 2022): 10 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

89

The numbers add up to 89 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 52≈ 3.4 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27≈ 45 by chance£250
  • Match 4359≈ 579 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,038≈ 1.5k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,842≈ 16k by chance£10.00
  • Match 313,893≈ 19k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball55,948≈ 61k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball72,899≈ 73k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 359 winners, 38% fewer than the 579 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball72,899£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball55,948£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,842£10.00
    Match 313,893£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,038£20.00
    Match 4359£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball27£250
    Match 52£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000