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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Wednesday, 18 October 2017 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2017-10-14 All recent draws 2017-10-20 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 10 25 29 34 36 + 11 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 October 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2017-10-18 Lines in play ≈ 1.9M as the winner counts imply Paid out £773.7K to 143k winning lines Won something 1 in 13 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.24 Where the money went
Match 3 16% £126.2K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 33% £254.0K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 25% £197.1K 5 other tiers 25% £196.3K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.24 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
138times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 86 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,201 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 3≈ 3.1 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 31≈ 40 by chance £250
Match 4 329≈ 522 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 1,026≈ 1.3k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 12,013≈ 14k by chance £10.00
Match 3 12,624≈ 17k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 50,802≈ 55k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 65,704≈ 66k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈1.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 329 winners, 37% fewer than the 522 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.