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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Thunderball · draw
Saturday, 18 July 2015 Result Thunderball
Single source
← 2015-07-17 All recent draws 2015-07-22 → Where this result came from Sources Only Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Primary commercial feed 8 10 11 13 31 + 1 29 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 July 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Prize breakdown · 2015-07-18 Lines in play ≈ 2.0M as the winner counts imply Paid out £1.1M to 182k winning lines Won something 1 in 11 lines took a prize Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0 winners chance said 0.25 Where the money went
Match 3 26% £296.6K Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 27% £312.1K Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 18% £211.2K 5 other tiers 29% £327.3K Tier 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k Winners 1 10 100 1k 10k 100k 1M Prize each
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball 0≈ 0.25 by chance Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →
130times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 849 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
£500,000
Match 5 3≈ 3.3 by chance £5,000
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball 41≈ 43 by chance £250
Match 4 968≈ 559 by chance £100
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball 1,686≈ 1.4k by chance £20.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball 17,151≈ 15k by chance £10.00
Match 3 29,664≈ 18k by chance £10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball 62,427≈ 59k by chance £5.00
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball 70,404≈ 70k by chance £3.00 The rings take the ≈2.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 968 winners, 73% more than the 559 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.