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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 2 July 2021

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 9
  3. 10
  4. 23
  5. 36
  6. 9

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 3% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,961 of 3,064 under them

← 2021-06-30All recent draws2021-07-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 9 10 23 36 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.

  • sum21th
  • odd31th
  • low64th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread86th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 251 of each

2242times
9239times
10264times
23252times
36

Prize breakdown · 2021-07-02

  • Lines in play≈ 1.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£576.2Kto 101k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • Match 319%£112.3K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball32%£185.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball22%£124.9K
  • 4 other tiers27%£154.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.15 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

230times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 140 of each

9113times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,960 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 23, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 February 2021 — its closest relative in 1,960 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 June 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

80

The numbers add up to 80 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.9 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30≈ 25 by chance£250
  • Match 4278≈ 331 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball960≈ 840 by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,951≈ 9.0k by chance£10.00
  • Match 311,226≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,001≈ 35k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball41,645≈ 42k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 960 winners, 14% more than the 840 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball41,645£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball37,001£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,951£10.00
    Match 311,226£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball960£20.00
    Match 4278£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball30£250
    Match 50£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000