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Thunderball · draw

Friday, 22 January 2021

ResultThunderball

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 10
  3. 18
  4. 21
  5. 38
  6. 8

Jackpot£500,000

The crowdHeld 6% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/39 + 1/14 · since Jan 2010draw 1,869 of 3,063 under them

← 2021-01-20All recent draws2021-01-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 10 18 21 38 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum42th
  • odd9th
  • low64th
  • widest gap79th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread65th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 239 of each

8229times
10254times
18255times
21255times
38

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-22

  • Lines in play≈ 1.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out£701.0Kto 120k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 12lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18%£124.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball31%£219.6K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%£148.8K
  • 5 other tiers30%£207.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.18 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

227times
Stars · a separate 1-of-14 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 133 of each

8143times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,868 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (8, 10, 18, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 May 2014 — its closest relative in 1,868 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 43% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 January 2021): 18 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (7% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

95

The numbers add up to 95 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
£500,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.3 by chance£5,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39≈ 30 by chance£250
  • Match 4327≈ 394 by chance£100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,446≈ 1.0k by chance£20.00
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,462≈ 11k by chance£10.00
  • Match 312,157≈ 13k by chance£10.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball43,915≈ 41k by chance£5.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball49,610≈ 50k by chance£3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈1.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,446 winners, 45% more than the 1.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball49,610£3.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball43,915£5.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,462£10.00
    Match 312,157£10.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,446£20.00
    Match 4327£100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball39£250
    Match 53£5,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0£500,000