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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

EuroMillions · every number · star deck

Star 5

In EuroMillions under the 5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016 rules — 1,050 draws, 2 from 1–12.

163times drawn · chance expected 175 −0.99σ

2draws waiting · a wait this long: 83% for any number

6.4average wait between appearances · chance says 6.0

30longest completed wait · 56% chance of one at least that long

5 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 163 times in 1,050 draws against 175.0 expected, −0.99σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 5, draw by draw

Drawn 163 times in 1,050 draws · average wait 6.4 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 2 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 5 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest99 · chance 103.7
2nd smallest64 · chance 59.3

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 14.8 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

3 6 9 4 8 1

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 11 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 5 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 12. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 5 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-09	11	1st	5 10
2026-09-01	9	2nd	3 5
2026-07-31	7	2nd	4 5
2026-07-07	4	1st	5 8
2026-06-23	4	1st	5 6
2026-06-09	5	2nd	3 5
2026-05-22	1	1st	5 8
2026-05-19	2	2nd	2 5
2026-05-12	5	1st	5 7
2026-04-24	3	2nd	1 5
2026-04-14	12	1st	5 12
2026-03-03	3	1st	5 7
2026-02-20	1	1st	5 9
2026-02-17	2	1st	5 12
2026-02-10	7	1st	5 8
2026-01-16	10	1st	5 10
2025-12-12	6	1st	5 11
2025-11-21	10	1st	5 9
2025-10-17	3	2nd	3 5
2025-10-07	3	1st	5 8
2025-09-26	1	1st	5 11
2025-09-23	2	2nd	2 5
2025-09-16	3	1st	5 6
2025-09-05	9	1st	5 8

The other 139 appearances

2025-08-05	8	1st	5 10
2025-07-08	1	2nd	1 5
2025-07-04	5	1st	5 7
2025-06-17	2	2nd	3 5
2025-06-10	2	1st	5 6
2025-06-03	1	1st	5 7
2025-05-30	3	2nd	1 5
2025-05-20	3	1st	5 6
2025-05-09	10	1st	5 9
2025-04-04	4	1st	5 7
2025-03-21	6	1st	5 12
2025-02-28	3	1st	5 9
2025-02-18	4	1st	5 7
2025-02-04	4	1st	5 10
2025-01-21	2	2nd	4 5
2025-01-14	10	1st	5 9
2024-12-10	3	1st	5 9
2024-11-29	14	1st	5 9
2024-10-11	4	2nd	4 5
2024-09-27	1	1st	5 12
2024-09-24	6	2nd	3 5
2024-09-03	20	2nd	2 5
2024-06-25	5	1st	5 7
2024-06-07	11	1st	5 8
2024-04-30	8	2nd	1 5
2024-04-02	2	1st	5 8
2024-03-26	3	1st	5 6
2024-03-15	5	2nd	4 5
2024-02-27	6	1st	5 6
2024-02-06	1	1st	5 11
2024-02-02	1	1st	5 9
2024-01-30	13	1st	5 6
2023-12-15	3	1st	5 9
2023-12-05	6	1st	5 9
2023-11-14	3	2nd	3 5
2023-11-03	4	1st	5 9
2023-10-20	5	2nd	1 5
2023-10-03	2	2nd	4 5
2023-09-26	1	1st	5 7
2023-09-22	1	1st	5 8
2023-09-19	5	2nd	2 5
2023-09-01	2	1st	5 6
2023-08-25	4	1st	5 10
2023-08-11	8	2nd	3 5
2023-07-14	7	1st	5 6
2023-06-20	2	1st	5 6
2023-06-13	21	1st	5 6
2023-03-31	9	1st	5 10
2023-02-28	13	1st	5 10
2023-01-13	5	1st	5 10
2022-12-27	1	2nd	3 5
2022-12-23	1	1st	5 11
2022-12-20	30	2nd	4 5
2022-09-06	8	2nd	4 5
2022-08-09	21	1st	5 11
2022-05-27	3	2nd	3 5
2022-05-17	9	1st	5 11
2022-04-15	3	1st	5 6
2022-04-05	3	1st	5 6
2022-03-25	7	1st	5 12
2022-03-01	1	2nd	3 5
2022-02-25	11	2nd	1 5
2022-01-18	7	2nd	2 5
2021-12-24	20	1st	5 10
2021-10-15	2	2nd	2 5
2021-10-08	20	2nd	3 5
2021-07-30	9	1st	5 10
2021-06-29	3	1st	5 6
2021-06-18	11	2nd	3 5
2021-05-11	7	1st	5 6
2021-04-16	4	1st	5 9
2021-04-02	21	2nd	2 5
2021-01-19	7	1st	5 6
2020-12-25	10	2nd	3 5
2020-11-20	3	1st	5 7
2020-11-10	9	1st	5 12
2020-10-09	14	1st	5 8
2020-08-21	1	2nd	3 5
2020-08-18	4	1st	5 12
2020-08-04	1	1st	5 8
2020-07-31	10	2nd	2 5
2020-06-26	17	1st	5 11
2020-04-28	14	2nd	1 5
2020-03-10	5	1st	5 12
2020-02-21	7	1st	5 9
2020-01-28	1	2nd	4 5
2020-01-24	1	1st	5 8
2020-01-21	7	2nd	3 5
2019-12-27	9	1st	5 10
2019-11-26	7	1st	5 8
2019-11-01	1	1st	5 7
2019-10-29	4	1st	5 10
2019-10-15	1	2nd	4 5
2019-10-11	10	1st	5 6
2019-09-06	6	2nd	2 5
2019-08-16	4	2nd	1 5
2019-08-02	16	2nd	2 5
2019-06-07	3	2nd	2 5
2019-05-28	7	2nd	1 5
2019-05-03	4	1st	5 6
2019-04-19	4	1st	5 11
2019-04-05	15	2nd	3 5
2019-02-12	7	2nd	1 5
2019-01-18	9	1st	5 10
2018-12-18	19	1st	5 7
2018-10-12	29	1st	5 8
2018-07-03	8	2nd	3 5
2018-06-05	1	2nd	4 5
2018-06-01	2	2nd	4 5
2018-05-25	5	2nd	4 5
2018-05-08	3	2nd	2 5
2018-04-27	7	1st	5 12
2018-04-03	12	1st	5 8
2018-02-20	6	1st	5 11
2018-01-30	20	2nd	4 5
2017-11-21	1	1st	5 7
2017-11-17	5	1st	5 12
2017-10-31	5	2nd	3 5
2017-10-13	3	1st	5 11
2017-10-03	7	2nd	1 5
2017-09-08	2	2nd	1 5
2017-09-01	1	1st	5 8
2017-08-29	2	2nd	1 5
2017-08-22	3	2nd	3 5
2017-08-11	1	1st	5 12
2017-08-08	5	2nd	4 5
2017-07-21	1	1st	5 9
2017-07-18	4	1st	5 7
2017-07-04	21	1st	5 8
2017-04-21	1	2nd	4 5
2017-04-18	7	1st	5 12
2017-03-24	5	1st	5 9
2017-03-07	9	2nd	4 5
2017-02-03	2	1st	5 9
2017-01-27	2	1st	5 9
2017-01-20	8	2nd	3 5
2016-12-23	4	2nd	2 5
2016-12-09	13	2nd	1 5
2016-10-25	—	2nd	1 5

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 5 is drawn with probability 2/12 tonight whatever it did last week.