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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£111,228,000
The crowdHeld 6% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 780 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 March 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 78 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 130 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 779 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (4, 34, 40) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 2 April 2021 — its closest relative in 779 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 March 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 4 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 110 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 55 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 576 winners, 28% fewer than the 805 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €130,000,000 |
| rang2 | 1 | €420,495 |
| rang3 | 1 | €26,803 |
| rang4 | 14 | €1,954 |
| rang5 | 252 | €161 |
| rang6 | 943 | €64.70 |
| rang7 | 576 | €55.20 |
| rang8 | 10,701 | €15.60 |
| rang9 | 14,100 | €13.10 |
| rang10 | 28,580 | €11.70 |
| rang11 | 59,253 | €7.10 |
| rang12 | 228,494 | €5.80 |
| rang13 | 475,425 | €4.50 |