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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£49,320,956
The crowdHeld 20% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 476 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 April 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 475 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 29, 40) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 4 September 2020 — its closest relative in 475 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 April 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 134 — the 57th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →48 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 16,126 winners, 24% fewer than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €154,074 |
| rang3 | 1 | €36,010 |
| rang4 | 9 | €1,100 |
| rang5 | 152 | €135 |
| rang6 | 458 | €49.30 |
| rang7 | 354 | €45.60 |
| rang8 | 6,515 | €11.70 |
| rang9 | 7,591 | €11.70 |
| rang10 | 16,126 | €10.50 |
| rang11 | 35,469 | €5.30 |
| rang12 | 115,809 | €5.50 |
| rang13 | 243,000 | €4.30 |