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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£139,135,511
The crowdHeld 6% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 903 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 May 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 90 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 150 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 902 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 8, 47) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 27 August 2024 — its closest relative in 902 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 May 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 6 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 98 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈28M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 1,034 winners, 15% more than the 899 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,352,916 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 644,453 | £3.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 148,864 | £5.10 |
| Match 3 | 96,677 | £6.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 28,703 | £10.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 45,087 | £7.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,060 | £41.90 |
| Match 4 | 2,154 | £28.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,034 | £79.10 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 49 | £906 |
| Match 5 | 7 | £20,371 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £610,126 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £139,135,511 |