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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,108,300
The crowdHeld 37% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 877 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 February 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 66 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 88% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 88 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 146 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 876 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 14, 40) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 12 September 2023 — its closest relative in 876 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 February 2025): 14 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 110 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →40 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈25M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 720,876 winners, 37% fewer than the 1.1M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 720,876 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 392,145 | £3.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 133,047 | £3.20 |
| Match 3 | 50,884 | £6.90 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 28,069 | £6.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 27,683 | £6.80 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,036 | £23.60 |
| Match 4 | 1,171 | £28.90 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 596 | £76.50 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 38 | £651 |
| Match 5 | 4 | £19,866 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £14,108,300 |