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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£180,756,232
The crowdHeld 33% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 809 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 June 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 80% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 81 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 135 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 808 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 45, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 12 January 2024 — its closest relative in 808 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 June 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 161 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →49 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 26,923 winners, 37% fewer than the 42k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €213,887,390 |
| rang2 | 1 | €141,110 |
| rang3 | 2 | €17,589 |
| rang4 | 18 | €1,494 |
| rang5 | 305 | €135 |
| rang6 | 723 | €59.30 |
| rang7 | 629 | €48.90 |
| rang8 | 12,089 | €12.50 |
| rang9 | 13,122 | €12.50 |
| rang10 | 26,923 | €11.20 |
| rang11 | 71,000 | €5.40 |
| rang12 | 201,272 | €5.80 |
| rang13 | 405,640 | €4.60 |