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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£64,367,280
The crowdHeld 2% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 917 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 July 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 25 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 92 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 153 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 916 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 18, 50) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 21 March 2025 — its closest relative in 916 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 July 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 86 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →18 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈21M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 974 winners, 43% more than the 680 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 985,419 | £2.50 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 470,066 | £3.30 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 112,534 | £4.40 |
| Match 3 | 72,418 | £5.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 23,391 | £8.40 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 37,143 | £5.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,898 | £29.70 |
| Match 4 | 1,736 | £22.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 974 | £54.90 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 44 | £660 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £15,541 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 9 | £44,331 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £64,367,280 |