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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£187,781,097
The crowdHeld 4% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 751 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 75 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 125 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 750 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 20, 24) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 3 October 2023 — its closest relative in 750 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 December 2023): 4 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 9 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 79 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 24–25. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →25 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang6 — 1,004 winners, 10% more than the 909 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 3 | €146,495 |
| rang3 | 6 | €17,119 |
| rang4 | 22 | €969 |
| rang5 | 453 | €104 |
| rang6 | 1,004 | €46.00 |
| rang7 | 1,006 | €34.90 |
| rang8 | 13,642 | €11.50 |
| rang9 | 18,771 | €10.00 |
| rang10 | 41,536 | €8.60 |
| rang11 | 68,423 | €5.60 |
| rang12 | 254,691 | €5.10 |
| rang13 | 560,871 | €3.80 |