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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EU · ball game
Latest drawFriday, 9 October 2026
Jackpot£28,753,183
Top prizeNot won — 2 draws unwonnext draw advertised at £32,000,000
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 9 Oct 2026, 21:12 UTC.
5 numbers from 1–50, plus 2 from 1–12. 1,988 draws held here since 2004-02-13 — 1,048 under the current rules.
EuroMillions changed its number pool then, which started a new era. Only the 1,048 draws since count towards number statistics — mixing draws from before a rule change would make any frequency meaningless.
Your numbers, read by every tool
Type the numbers you always play. Has the line ever come up? How close has EuroMillions come? What has each number done, what does the line look like, and has the same set turned up anywhere else in the world?
Every tool, for this game
Each one opens with EuroMillions already selected. The line under every title is true of this game’s rules right now — not a promise about its next draw.

In 1,048 draws every number is expected about 105 times, and a ball favoured by more than 38% over its share would already have shown — see which ones strayed, and how far chance allows.

A number waits 10 draws on average; 5% of the time it waits 30 or more. It is never “due”.

The 5 numbers add up to about 128, give or take 31. Most tickets sit in that bell — and so do most draws.

35.3% of draws contain two numbers side by side. That is the rules talking, not luck.

1,225 possible pairs, each expected together 8.6 times so far — and about 12 will look “special” by chance alone.

All 50 numbers as a constellation of who appeared with whom — indistinguishable from a shuffled sky.

42% of draws repeat a number from the draw before. A whole draw repeating: 22.8% likely by now.

Sorted, the numbers sit about 8.5 apart on average — and every “spread” you can name is exactly as likely as every other.

It takes about 44 draws for every one of the 50 numbers to appear at least once. The last few are the slow ones.

139,838,160 possible tickets. Every one has a face — and a typicality score you can look up.

Seven independent tests of randomness run live against all 1,048 draws. Any of them can fail; watch whether they do.

The lowest number lands near 9, the highest near 43. Position is a property of sorting, not of the balls.

5/50 rescaled onto the same axes as every other game here. One law, many machines.

Six documented cases of a beaten lottery. Not one involved patterns in past draws.

What the world believes about 7, 8, 13 and 17 — and what every machine says back.

At 30 million tickets, an average line keeps about 7% of a jackpot it wins. Unpopular numbers keep more — and still lose money.

A full wheel of 10 numbers here is 252 tickets. A guarantee is real; a profit is not.

Five folk claims about 5/50 games, each answered with the closed form that kills it — never a tip for the next draw.
Take the record with youRSSJSON feedCSV, every drawDraw nights, in your calendarAPI

Lock a past-only rule, score it on later draws, and compare every hit with the exact 5-of-50 overlap law.

This is a without-replacement ball game; the Digit Laboratory is for Pick 3 and Pick 4.
Not for this game
The Chernoff Map reads the straight tier of a digit game, which counts tickets on one exact number; a ball game has no such row.
Not for this game
This game draws once a day, so it has no second draw to compare its first with.
Not for this gameThis draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 96% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 105 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 175 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,047 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (24, 31, 45) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 31 July 2026 — its closest relative in 1,047 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 125 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →20 had not appeared for 41 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈21M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 + 2 Stars — 23,388 winners, 9% more than the 21k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 + 2 Stars | 0 | £28,753,183 |
| Match 5 + 1 Star | 3 | £204,505 |
| Match 5 | 6 | £23,898 |
| Match 4 + 2 Stars | 28 | £1,595 |
| Match 4 + 1 Star | 708 | £116 |
| Match 3 + 2 Stars | 1,626 | £53.49 |
| Match 4 | 1,549 | £39.46 |
| Match 2 + 2 Stars | 23,388 | £13.07 |
| Match 3 + 1 Star | 31,788 | £10.72 |
| Match 3 | 68,103 | £9.32 |
| Match 1 + 2 Stars | 112,271 | £6.85 |
| Match 2 + 1 Star | 443,848 | £5.45 |
| Match 2 | 968,094 | £4.03 |
| Totals | 1,651,412 | — |
What the top prize has been, draw by draw. It climbs while nobody wins and drops to the floor when somebody does — the sawtooth every rollover game draws.
Happenedwhat chance predicts
Completed waits between wins, against the geometric law those waits follow if every draw is an independent chance at the jackpot. The law takes its one parameter from the waits themselves, so this compares shape, not level.
At the €28,753,183 jackpot last advertised, and the 21,074,224 lines the last prize table implies were in play.
A €2.50 line returns about €0.64 — 25% of what it costs. That is the price of the entertainment, and it does not change with which numbers are on the line.
€2.50 a line. EuroMillions pays cash, and most participating countries do not tax the prize — Portugal, Spain and Switzerland do. At these sales a winning line expects about 0.15 co-winners, leaving 93% of the prize.
An average line would break even at a headline of about €470M — and even that is a break-even, not a profit, because a prize that size sells more lines and the extra sharing takes most of it back.
A model, with every parameter on the table — the whole calculation, and its sources → · the same figures for every game we can price →
Open any draw to read it by every tool — the same six readings the latest result gets above, each against what chance predicted at the time.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 9 Oct 2026, 21:12 UTC.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. A later report from Backup 1 agrees but has not been cross-checked yet. Settled 6 Oct 2026, 21:26 UTC.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. A later report from Backup 1 agrees but has not been cross-checked yet. Settled 2 Oct 2026, 21:01 UTC.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. A later report from Backup 1 agrees but has not been cross-checked yet. Settled 29 Sept 2026, 20:35 UTC.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. A later report from Backup 1 agrees but has not been cross-checked yet. Settled 25 Sept 2026, 20:55 UTC.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. A later report from Backup 1 agrees but has not been cross-checked yet. Settled 22 Sept 2026, 21:50 UTC.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. A later report from Backup 1 agrees but has not been cross-checked yet. Settled 18 Sept 2026, 21:05 UTC.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. A later report from Backup 1 agrees but has not been cross-checked yet. Settled 15 Sept 2026, 21:01 UTC.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. A later report from Backup 1 agrees but has not been cross-checked yet. Settled 11 Sept 2026, 21:36 UTC.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. A later report from Backup 1 agrees but has not been cross-checked yet. Settled 8 Sept 2026, 21:15 UTC.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. A later report from Backup 1 agrees but has not been cross-checked yet. Settled 4 Sept 2026, 21:21 UTC.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. A later report from Backup 1 agrees but has not been cross-checked yet. Settled 1 Sept 2026, 20:46 UTC.
| Draws waited | Happened | Chance says |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 119 | 100.4 |
| 1 | 74 | 69.2 |
| 2 | 41 | 47.7 |
| 3 | 31 | 32.9 |
| 4 | 11 | 22.6 |
| 5 | 9 | 15.6 |
| 6 | 7 | 10.8 |
| 7 | 8 | 7.4 |
| 8 | 2 | 5.1 |
| 9 | 4 | 3.5 |
| 10+ | 17 | 7.8 |
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,047 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 30% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 105 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 174 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,046 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (22, 32, 48) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 26 December 2025 — its closest relative in 1,046 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 October 2026): 22 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 161 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →32 had not appeared for 42 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 105 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 174 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,045 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 8, 35) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 28 October 2025 — its closest relative in 1,045 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 September 2026): 7 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 82 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →35 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 174 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,044 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 12, 31) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 28 August 2020 — its closest relative in 1,044 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (25 September 2026): 12 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 98 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 174 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,043 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (12, 15, 38, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 9 January 2018 — its closest relative in 1,043 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 11% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (22 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10, 12 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 125 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →49 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 174 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,042 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (13, 16, 44, 50) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 14 November 2023 — its closest relative in 1,042 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 11% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 September 2026): 44 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 137 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 13–14. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →14 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 174 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,041 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 25, 44) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 26 September 2025 — its closest relative in 1,041 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 124 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →44 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 21 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 173 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,040 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 16, 18, 22) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 28 June 2024 — its closest relative in 1,040 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 11% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 94 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →22 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 173 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,039 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 15, 50) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 13 December 2024 — its closest relative in 1,039 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 September 2026): 39 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 112 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 173 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,038 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 33, 35) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 20 February 2026 — its closest relative in 1,038 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 12 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 137 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →13 had not appeared for 40 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 173 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,037 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (19, 27, 46) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 9 April 2024 — its closest relative in 1,037 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 115 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →27 had not appeared for 44 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 173 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,036 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 37, 47) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 14 July 2026 — its closest relative in 1,036 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 August 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 119 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →37 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →