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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£100,807,281
The crowdHeld 28% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 408 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 August 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 69% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 407 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 15, 44) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 8 October 2019 — its closest relative in 407 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 August 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 5 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 154 — the 79th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →44 had not appeared for 49 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 336 winners, 41% fewer than the 568 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 1 | €156,509 |
| rang3 | 1 | €24,386 |
| rang4 | 12 | €1,454 |
| rang5 | 177 | €127 |
| rang6 | 484 | €51.00 |
| rang7 | 336 | €47.20 |
| rang8 | 7,466 | €11.20 |
| rang9 | 7,769 | €11.60 |
| rang10 | 15,925 | €10.80 |
| rang11 | 41,785 | €5.30 |
| rang12 | 125,690 | €5.40 |
| rang13 | 259,095 | €4.30 |