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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£34,718,425
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 937 of 1,049 under them
Sources2 independent sources agree, none of them official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 September 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 49 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 40% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 94 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 156 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 936 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 35, 40) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 15 August 2025 — its closest relative in 936 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 September 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 98 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 404,814 winners, 10% more than the 368k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 824,639 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 404,814 | £3.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 96,689 | £4.60 |
| Match 3 | 55,780 | £6.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 18,150 | £9.80 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 27,066 | £7.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,210 | £42.00 |
| Match 4 | 1,232 | £29.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 542 | £88.70 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26 | £1,005 |
| Match 5 | 3 | £27,958 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £179,436 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £34,718,425 |